
| Table 26. Actual and projected percentage changes in public high school graduates, by region and state: Selected years, 2000–01 through 2018–19 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 2000–01 to 2005–06 | Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005–06 to 2012–13 |
2012–13 to 2018–19 |
2005–06 to 2018–19 |
|||
| United States | 9.6 | 3.2 | 7.9 | 11.3 | |
| Northeast | 13.8 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -3.3 | |
| Connecticut | 19.2 | -0.8 | -3.2 | -3.9 | |
| Maine | 2.3 | -13.0 | 0.3 | -12.7 | |
| Massachusetts | 12.6 | -4.0 | -2.3 | -6.2 | |
| New Hampshire | 13.8 | -6.0 | -2.2 | -8.1 | |
| New Jersey | 18.3 | 1.6 | -2.5 | -0.9 | |
| New York | 14.0 | -7.1 | -4.7 | -11.5 | |
| Pennsylvania | 11.7 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 10.4 | |
| Rhode Island | 17.5 | -8.7 | -13.5 | -21.0 | |
| Vermont | -1.1 | -11.7 | -4.7 | -15.9 | |
| Midwest | 6.1 | -1.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | |
| Illinois | 14.6 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 6.8 | |
| Indiana | 3.1 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 15.1 | |
| Iowa | -0.2 | -4.1 | 7.9 | 3.5 | |
| Kansas | 1.6 | -5.7 | 7.0 | 0.9 | |
| Michigan | 6.3 | -4.6 | -3.7 | -8.1 | |
| Minnesota | 4.1 | -4.9 | 5.2 | # | |
| Missouri | 7.9 | -2.9 | 7.6 | 4.6 | |
| Nebraska | 0.5 | -2.9 | 9.3 | 6.2 | |
| North Dakota | -14.8 | -12.8 | -8.7 | -20.4 | |
| Ohio | 5.5 | -1.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | |
| South Dakota | -3.3 | -12.0 | 0.9 | -11.2 | |
| Wisconsin | 6.2 | -5.4 | 4.5 | -1.2 | |
| South | 11.0 | 5.9 | 16.0 | 22.8 | |
| Alabama | 2.3 | # | 10.8 | 10.8 | |
| Arkansas | 6.2 | -1.6 | 12.8 | 11.0 | |
| Delaware | 10.0 | 4.1 | 12.5 | 17.1 | |
| District of Columbia | 12.2 | -16.0 | -4.0 | -19.4 | |
| Florida | 21.2 | 7.0 | 14.7 | 22.7 | |
| Georgia | 17.6 | 11.2 | 14.7 | 41.3 | |
| Kentucky | 4.0 | 3.2 | 9.7 | 13.2 | |
| Louisiana | -13.2 | -5.5 | -3.4 | -8.6 | |
| Maryland | 12.8 | -4.9 | -2.1 | -6.9 | |
| Mississippi | 0.4 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 7.6 | |
| North Carolina | 21.2 | 6.9 | 24.6 | 33.2 | |
| Oklahoma | -2.6 | -2.4 | 8.7 | 6.2 | |
| South Carolina | 16.5 | -3.4 | 10.7 | 6.9 | |
| Tennessee | 25.2 | 5.4 | 15.7 | 21.9 | |
| Texas | 11.7 | 13.0 | 23.8 | 40.0 | |
| Virginia | 5.3 | 7.2 | 9.7 | 17.5 | |
| West Virginia | -9.1 | -0.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 | |
| West | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 16.2 | |
| Alaska | 8.1 | -6.7 | 1.2 | -5.5 | |
| Arizona | 15.7 | 4.3 | 27.0 | 32.5 | |
| California | 9.0 | 10.4 | 0.5 | 11.0 | |
| Colorado | 13.2 | 7.2 | 21.1 | 29.8 | |
| Hawaii | 8.1 | -8.6 | -10.9 | -18.6 | |
| Idaho | 1.0 | 7.0 | 24.8 | 33.6 | |
| Montana | -3.2 | -11.5 | 3.3 | -8.6 | |
| Nevada | 8.8 | 30.1 | 22.3 | 59.1 | |
| New Mexico | -2.1 | -5.7 | 11.0 | 4.6 | |
| Oregon | 8.2 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 15.0 | |
| Utah | -8.3 | 20.1 | 27.5 | 53.0 | |
| Washington | 9.3 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 5.9 | |
| Wyoming | -9.0 | -10.2 | 16.0 | 4.2 | |
| # Rounds to zero. |
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 2001–02 and 2006–07; and State Public High School Graduates Model, 1980–81 through 2005–06. (This table was prepared December 2008.) |