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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 24.  Actual and projected numbers for high school graduates, by control of school: 199394 through 201819

School year Total Public Private
       
Actual
1993–94 1 2,463,728 2,220,849 242,879
1994–95 2,519,084 2,273,541 245,543
1995–96 1 2,518,064 2,273,109 244,955
1996–97 2,611,988 2,358,403 253,585
1997–98 1 2,704,133 2,439,050 265,083
1998–99 2,758,655 2,485,630 273,025
1999–2000 1 2,832,669 2,553,844 278,825
2000–01 2,847,729 2,568,956 278,773
2001–02 1 2,906,302 2,621,534 284,768
2002–03 3,015,662 2,719,907 295,755
2003–04 1 3,054,469 2,753,438 301,031
2004–05 3,102,429 2,795,180 307,249
2005–06 1 3,122,200 2,814,951 307,249
Projected
2006–07 2 3,249,800 2,943,190 306,605
2007–08 3,321,520 3,010,890 310,630
2008–09 3,329,180 3,018,670 310,510
2009–10 3,294,590 2,983,380 311,210
2010–11 3,273,250 2,962,400 310,850
2011–12 3,224,660 2,912,370 312,290
2012–13 3,210,510 2,904,760 305,750
2013–14 3,193,460 2,888,890 304,570
2014–15 3,186,910 2,892,340 294,570
2015–16 3,217,390 2,926,140 291,250
2016–17 3,244,870 2,958,520 286,350
2017–18 3,285,840 3,004,160 281,680
2018–19 3,410,210 3,133,050 277,160
1 Since the biennial Private School Universe Survey (PSS) is collected in the fall of odd numbered years, private school numbers for alternate years are estimated based on data from the PSS.
2The private school number is an actual number from the 200708 PSS.
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 199495 through 200607; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years, 199394 through 200506; and National Elementary and Secondary High School Graduates Model, 197273 through 200506. (This table was prepared November 2008.)

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