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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 15.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for enrollment in public 4-year degree-granting postsecondary institutions, by sex and attendance status: Fall 1993 through fall 2018

[In thousands]

Year Total   Men   Women
Full-time Part-time Full-time Part-time
               
Actual
1993 5,852   1,989 750   2,085 1,027
1994 5,825   1,966 738   2,100 1,022
1995 5,815   1,951 720   2,134 1,009
1996 5,806   1,943 703   2,163 997
1997 5,835   1,951 687   2,214 984
1998 5,892   1,959 685   2,260 988
1999 5,970   1,984 686   2,309 991
2000 6,055   2,009 683   2,363 1,001
2001 6,236   2,082 687   2,450 1,017
2002 6,482   2,167 706   2,557 1,052
2003 6,649   2,225 713   2,639 1,072
2004 6,737   2,260 717   2,684 1,076
2005 6,838   2,295 724   2,726 1,091
2006 6,955   2,339 740   2,765 1,111
2007 7,167   2,418 773   2,827 1,149
Middle alternative projections
2008 7,314   2,474 800   2,890 1,149
2009 7,470   2,538 801   2,979 1,151
2010 7,512   2,555 805   2,999 1,154
2011 7,581   2,567 810   3,039 1,165
2012 7,652   2,574 816   3,082 1,181
2013 7,755   2,588 820   3,148 1,199
2014 7,846   2,606 823   3,198 1,219
2015 7,917   2,614 824   3,243 1,236
2016 7,983   2,621 825   3,287 1,250
2017 8,061   2,633 827   3,337 1,265
2018 8,128   2,645 830   3,376 1,278
Low alternative projections
2008 7,066   2,419 776   2,745 1,127
2009 7,236   2,490 777   2,844 1,125
2010 7,244   2,502 780   2,839 1,124
2011 7,278   2,503 785   2,859 1,132
2012 7,337   2,506 791   2,895 1,145
2013 7,428   2,519 795   2,952 1,162
2014 7,518   2,539 798   2,999 1,182
2015 7,595   2,551 798   3,048 1,199
2016 7,668   2,562 799   3,095 1,213
2017 7,757   2,579 800   3,151 1,226
2018 7,834   2,596 803   3,196 1,238
High alternative projections
2008 7,538   2,506 820   3,039 1,173
2009 7,676   2,559 822   3,114 1,181
2010 7,729   2,576 826   3,141 1,187
2011 7,813   2,593 831   3,191 1,199
2012 7,895   2,606 837   3,238 1,215
2013 8,004   2,620 842   3,308 1,234
2014 8,095   2,636 845   3,358 1,256
2015 8,173   2,646 846   3,408 1,273
2016 8,252   2,657 846   3,460 1,288
2017 8,343   2,672 848   3,520 1,303
2018 8,419   2,687 851   3,565 1,316
NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Data for 1999 were imputed using alternative procedures. (For more details, see appendix E of Projections of Education Statistics to 2011.) Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey" (IPEDS-EF:9399), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2008; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 19732007. (This table was prepared January 2009.)

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