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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 10.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in all degree-granting institutions, by sex, attendance status, and control of institution, and actual and alternative projected numbers for first-time freshmen fall enrollment in all degree-granting institutions, by sex: Fall 1993 through fall 2018

[In thousands]

  Total enrollment   First-time freshmen
Year Total   Sex   Attendance status   Control   Total Sex
  Men Women   Full-time Part-time   Public Private Men Women
                             
Actual
1993 14,305   6,427 7,877   8,128 6,177   11,189 3,116   2,284 1,053 1,231
1994 14,279   6,372 7,907   8,138 6,141   11,134 3,145   2,223 1,023 1,200
1995 14,262   6,343 7,919   8,129 6,133   11,092 3,169   2,181 1,004 1,178
1996 14,368   6,353 8,015   8,303 6,065   11,121 3,247   2,193 1,006 1,187
1997 14,502   6,396 8,106   8,438 6,064   11,196 3,306   2,248 1,032 1,216
1998 14,507   6,369 8,138   8,563 5,944   11,138 3,369   2,234 1,025 1,209
1999 14,791   6,491 8,301   8,786 6,005   11,309 3,482   2,269 1,045 1,224
2000 15,312   6,722 8,591   9,010 6,303   11,753 3,560   2,388 1,106 1,283
2001 15,928   6,961 8,967   9,448 6,480   12,233 3,695   2,506 1,157 1,349
2002 16,612   7,202 9,410   9,946 6,665   12,752 3,860   2,600 1,191 1,409
2003 16,911   7,260 9,651   10,326 6,585   12,859 4,053   2,628 1,190 1,438
2004 17,272   7,387 9,885   10,610 6,662   12,980 4,292   2,667 1,206 1,462
2005 17,487   7,456 10,032   10,797 6,690   13,022 4,466   2,685 1,212 1,473
2006 17,759   7,575 10,184   10,957 6,802   13,180 4,579   2,714 1,227 1,486
2007 18,248   7,816 10,432   11,270 6,978   13,491 4,757   2,787 1,268 1,518
Middle alternative projections
2008 18,699   8,071 10,628   11,496 7,203   13,904 4,794   2,854 1,306 1,548
2009 19,037   8,210 10,827   11,833 7,204   14,137 4,900   2,908 1,329 1,578
2010 19,126   8,252 10,874   11,899 7,227   14,200 4,926   2,922 1,336 1,586
2011 19,286   8,288 10,998   12,005 7,281   14,312 4,974   2,944 1,341 1,603
2012 19,462   8,319 11,143   12,111 7,351   14,435 5,027   2,965 1,344 1,621
2013 19,710   8,359 11,351   12,290 7,421   14,605 5,105   2,996 1,348 1,648
2014 19,928   8,402 11,526   12,435 7,492   14,758 5,170   3,025 1,353 1,671
2015 20,097   8,418 11,679   12,555 7,542   14,874 5,223   3,045 1,354 1,692
2016 20,254   8,433 11,821   12,669 7,585   14,981 5,273   3,065 1,354 1,711
2017 20,446   8,465 11,981   12,812 7,635   15,116 5,331   3,090 1,358 1,732
2018 20,620   8,505 12,115   12,932 7,688   15,241 5,379   3,114 1,363 1,751
Low alternative projections
2008 18,092   7,867 10,225   11,063 7,029   13,463 4,629   2,762 1,273 1,489
2009 18,453   8,020 10,432   11,437 7,016   13,708 4,744   2,818 1,299 1,520
2010 18,461   8,050 10,411   11,438 7,023   13,715 4,746   2,821 1,303 1,518
2011 18,542   8,064 10,479   11,474 7,069   13,773 4,769   2,832 1,305 1,527
2012 18,689   8,086 10,604   11,560 7,129   13,875 4,815   2,849 1,307 1,542
2013 18,908   8,123 10,786   11,714 7,195   14,025 4,883   2,875 1,310 1,565
2014 19,124   8,170 10,954   11,860 7,265   14,177 4,948   2,904 1,316 1,588
2015 19,307   8,193 11,114   11,993 7,314   14,301 5,005   2,926 1,317 1,609
2016 19,477   8,215 11,262   12,123 7,354   14,418 5,060   2,948 1,319 1,629
2017 19,689   8,258 11,431   12,291 7,399   14,565 5,125   2,976 1,324 1,652
2018 19,882   8,307 11,575   12,435 7,447   14,702 5,180   3,003 1,331 1,672
High alternative projections
2008 19,254   8,211 11,043   11,889 7,365   14,308 4,946   2,938 1,329 1,610
2009 19,562   8,331 11,231   12,172 7,389   14,523 5,039   2,987 1,349 1,638
2010 19,681   8,374 11,307   12,254 7,427   14,609 5,072   3,006 1,356 1,650
2011 19,875   8,420 11,454   12,391 7,484   14,744 5,131   3,033 1,363 1,670
2012 20,074   8,462 11,612   12,520 7,554   14,882 5,192   3,057 1,367 1,690
2013 20,338   8,505 11,833   12,707 7,630   15,064 5,273   3,090 1,372 1,718
2014 20,558   8,546 12,013   12,852 7,707   15,220 5,338   3,119 1,376 1,743
2015 20,743   8,564 12,179   12,984 7,759   15,347 5,397   3,142 1,377 1,765
2016 20,927   8,586 12,341   13,125 7,803   15,472 5,455   3,165 1,379 1,787
2017 21,148   8,626 12,523   13,296 7,852   15,626 5,523   3,195 1,384 1,811
2018 21,341   8,671 12,670   13,438 7,904   15,764 5,578   3,222 1,390 1,832
NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Data for 1999 were imputed using alternative procedures. (For more details, see appendix E of Projections of Education Statistics to 2011.) Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey" (IPEDS-EF:92–99), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2007; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2006. (This table was prepared January 2009.)

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