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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 9.  Actual and projected percentage changes in 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, Fall 2000 through fall 2018

[In thousands]

Region and state     Projected
Actual 2000–2006   2006-2012 2012-2018 2006-2018
           
United States 11.6   -2.9 7.6 4.5
           
Northeast 12.7   -9.5 -2.0 -11.3
Connecticut 13.7   -5.5 -4.9 -10.1
Maine 0.5   -14.0 -1.7 -15.5
Massachusetts 9.3   -8.3 -2.2 -10.3
New Hampshire 9.8   -10.0 -0.3 -10.3
New Jersey 23.0   -4.3 -0.7 -5.0
New York 8.1   -12.6 -3.7 -15.8
Pennsylvania 17.0   -9.2 1.2 -8.1
Rhode Island 13.3   -12.8 -11.8 -23.1
Vermont -0.2   -16.0 -7.0 -22.0
           
Midwest 6.5   -6.3 2.2 -4.3
Illinois 11.4   -3.0 3.2 0.1
Indiana 10.4   -0.7 3.9 3.1
Iowa -2.7   -5.8 4.5 -1.6
Kansas -2.8   -3.8 5.5 1.5
Michigan 10.8   -11.9 -5.1 -16.3
Minnesota 2.0   -6.9 3.8 -3.4
Missouri 6.8   -6.0 6.3 -0.1
Nebraska 1.2   -5.6 10.1 3.9
North Dakota -12.2   -12.7 -6.4 -18.3
Ohio 7.8   -7.1 0.8 -6.3
South Dakota -6.7   -8.5 0.9 -7.6
Wisconsin 2.6   -7.6 3.0 -4.8
           
South 13.0   0.5 14.7 15.4
Alabama 6.8   -3.3 5.4 1.9
Arkansas 6.0   -0.2 9.8 9.7
Delaware 10.0   1.1 9.4 10.5
District of Columbia 34.3   -26.3 7.8 -20.6
Florida 19.3   -0.6 16.2 15.5
Georgia 20.2   6.5 20.8 28.6
Kentucky 0.8   -0.8 6.4 5.6
Louisiana -6.5   -13.1 1.2 -12.0
Maryland 11.8   -10.7 -0.1 -10.7
Mississippi 3.5   -5.4 6.0 0.3
North Carolina 19.9   4.2 18.3 23.3
Oklahoma 1.0   -2.8 8.4 5.4
South Carolina 11.9   -6.9 8.6 1.1
Tennessee 18.8   1.2 12.1 13.4
Texas 14.6   7.4 23.1 32.2
Virginia 15.1   -3.2 9.3 5.9
West Virginia -0.9   -7.2 5.9 -1.8
           
West 13.7   0.1 8.3 8.5
Alaska 9.1   -13.1 1.8 -11.6
Arizona 29.4   14.8 25.1 43.6
California 15.2   -2.8 3.1 0.3
Colorado 13.0   1.4 17.6 19.2
Hawaii 5.1   -9.7 -6.1 -15.2
Idaho 7.6   7.1 18.5 26.9
Montana -4.5   -10.5 4.0 -6.9
Nevada 34.9   15.6 21.8 40.8
New Mexico 2.8   -4.4 9.5 4.6
Oregon 9.0   -2.4 4.9 2.4
Utah 2.6   16.2 21.2 40.8
Washington 6.9   -3.6 3.2 -0.5
Wyoming -8.7   -5.8 13.7 7.1
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1999–2000 through 2005–06; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2005. (This table was prepared December 2008.)

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