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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 3.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by grade: Fall 1993 through fall 2018

[In thousands]

Year   Grade
Total PK K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Elemen-
tary un-
graded
Second-
ary un-
graded
                                   
Actual
1993 43,465 545 3,377 3,529 3,429 3,437 3,361 3,350 3,356 3,355 3,249 3,487 3,050 2,751 2,424 515 248
1994 44,111 603 3,444 3,593 3,440 3,439 3,426 3,372 3,381 3,404 3,302 3,604 3,131 2,748 2,488 494 242
1995 44,840 637 3,536 3,671 3,507 3,445 3,431 3,438 3,395 3,422 3,356 3,704 3,237 2,826 2,487 502 245
1996 45,611 670 3,532 3,770 3,600 3,524 3,454 3,453 3,494 3,464 3,403 3,801 3,323 2,930 2,586 401 206
1997 46,127 695 3,503 3,755 3,689 3,597 3,507 3,458 3,492 3,520 3,415 3,819 3,376 2,972 2,673 442 214
1998 46,539 729 3,443 3,727 3,681 3,696 3,592 3,520 3,497 3,530 3,480 3,856 3,382 3,021 2,722 451 212
1999 46,857 751 3,397 3,684 3,656 3,691 3,686 3,604 3,564 3,541 3,497 3,935 3,415 3,034 2,782 417 203
2000 47,204 776 3,382 3,636 3,634 3,676 3,711 3,707 3,663 3,629 3,538 3,963 3,491 3,083 2,803 336 175
2001 47,672 865 3,379 3,614 3,593 3,653 3,695 3,727 3,769 3,720 3,616 4,012 3,528 3,174 2,863 306 157
2002 48,183 915 3,434 3,594 3,565 3,623 3,669 3,711 3,788 3,821 3,709 4,105 3,584 3,229 2,990 287 160
2003 48,540 950 3,503 3,613 3,544 3,611 3,619 3,685 3,772 3,841 3,809 4,190 3,675 3,277 3,046 256 149
2004 48,795 990 3,544 3,663 3,560 3,580 3,612 3,635 3,735 3,818 3,825 4,281 3,750 3,369 3,094 216 121
2005 49,113 1,036 3,619 3,691 3,606 3,586 3,578 3,633 3,670 3,777 3,802 4,287 3,866 3,454 3,180 206 120
2006 49,299 1,076 3,630 3,750 3,640 3,627 3,585 3,601 3,660 3,715 3,765 4,260 3,881 3,551 3,276 171 109
Projected
2007 49,470 1,065 3,593 3,911 3,696 3,667 3,627 3,606 3,640 3,706 3,701 4,230 3,836 3,560 3,352 171 110
2008 49,623 1,077 3,633 3,871 3,855 3,724 3,667 3,648 3,644 3,685 3,692 4,158 3,809 3,518 3,360 171 110
2009 49,788 1,085 3,661 3,896 3,815 3,883 3,724 3,688 3,687 3,690 3,671 4,147 3,745 3,493 3,321 172 108
2010 50,034 1,094 3,693 3,926 3,840 3,843 3,884 3,745 3,728 3,733 3,676 4,125 3,735 3,434 3,298 173 107
2011 50,349 1,104 3,727 3,960 3,869 3,869 3,844 3,906 3,785 3,774 3,719 4,130 3,715 3,425 3,242 175 105
2012 50,767 1,115 3,763 3,996 3,903 3,898 3,869 3,865 3,948 3,833 3,760 4,178 3,719 3,407 3,234 177 104
2013 51,239 1,126 3,802 4,035 3,939 3,932 3,898 3,891 3,907 3,997 3,818 4,224 3,762 3,411 3,216 179 103
2014 51,769 1,138 3,841 4,076 3,977 3,968 3,932 3,920 3,932 3,956 3,982 4,289 3,804 3,451 3,220 181 103
2015 52,346 1,150 3,879 4,119 4,017 4,006 3,968 3,954 3,962 3,982 3,941 4,473 3,863 3,489 3,257 183 103
2016 52,892 1,160 3,914 4,160 4,059 4,047 4,006 3,991 3,997 4,011 3,966 4,427 4,029 3,543 3,293 184 105
2017 53,426 1,169 3,945 4,197 4,100 4,089 4,047 4,029 4,034 4,047 3,996 4,456 3,987 3,695 3,344 186 106
2018 53,933 1,177 3,971 4,230 4,136 4,130 4,090 4,070 4,072 4,084 4,031 4,490 4,013 3,657 3,488 188 107
NOTE: Elementary ungraded includes students in grades prekindergarten through 8 who are in classes or programs to which students are assigned without standard grade designations. Secondary ungraded includes students in grades 9 through 12 who are in classes or programs to which students are assigned without standard grade designations. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1993–94 through 2006–07; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2006. (This table was prepared November 2008.)

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