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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 1.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in grades PK–12, PK–8, and 9–12 in elementary and secondary schools, by control of school: Fall 1993 through fall 2018

[In thousands]

Year Total   Public   Private
PK–121 PK–81 9–12   PK–12 PK–8 9–12   PK–121 PK–81 9–12
                       
Actual
1993 49,533 36,454 13,079   43,465 31,504 11,961   6,068 4,950 1,118
1994 2 50,105 36,754 13,352   44,111 31,898 12,213   5,994 4,855 1,138
1995 50,758 37,096 13,662   44,840 32,341 12,500   5,918 4,755 1,163
1996 2 51,543 37,519 14,025   45,611 32,764 12,847   5,932 4,754 1,178
1997 52,071 37,832 14,239   46,127 33,073 13,054   5,944 4,759 1,185
1998 2 52,526 38,121 14,405   46,539 33,346 13,193   5,987 4,775 1,212
1999 52,876 38,278 14,598   46,857 33,488 13,369   6,018 4,789 1,229
2000 2 53,373 38,594 14,779   47,204 33,688 13,515   6,170 4,906 1,264
2001 53,992 38,961 15,031   47,672 33,938 13,734   6,320 5,023 1,296
2002 2 54,403 39,031 15,373   48,183 34,116 14,067   6,220 4,915 1,306
2003 54,639 38,990 15,649   48,540 34,202 14,338   6,099 4,788 1,311
2004 2 54,882 38,934 15,948   48,795 34,179 14,617   6,086 4,755 1,331
2005 55,186 38,929 16,257   49,113 34,205 14,908   6,073 4,724 1,349
2006 2 55,290 38,852 16,438   49,299 34,221 15,078   5,991 4,631 1,360
Projected
2007 3 55,380 38,929 16,451   49,470 34,383 15,087   5,910 4,546 1,364
2008 55,500 39,179 16,322   49,623 34,667 14,955   5,878 4,512 1,366
2009 55,632 39,457 16,175   49,788 34,973 14,815   5,845 4,484 1,361
2010 55,850 39,799 16,051   50,034 35,335 14,698   5,817 4,464 1,353
2011 56,144 40,193 15,951   50,349 35,732 14,617   5,795 4,461 1,335
2012 56,545 40,592 15,952   50,767 36,126 14,641   5,778 4,466 1,312
2013 57,012 41,005 16,006   51,239 36,523 14,716   5,773 4,483 1,290
2014 57,544 41,412 16,132   51,769 36,903 14,866   5,775 4,509 1,265
2015 58,137 41,705 16,432   52,346 37,160 15,186   5,791 4,545 1,246
2016 58,706 42,082 16,624   52,892 37,496 15,396   5,814 4,586 1,228
2017 59,270 42,465 16,805   53,426 37,838 15,588   5,843 4,626 1,217
2018 59,813 42,845 16,968   53,933 38,179 15,754   5,879 4,666 1,214
1 Includes private nursery and prekindergarten enrollment in schools that offer kindergarten or higher grades.
2 Private school numbers are estimated based on data from the Private School Universe Survey.
3 The private school numbers are actual numbers from the 200708 PSS.
NOTE Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1993–94 through 2006–07; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years 1993–94 through 2007–08; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2006. (This table was prepared March 2009.)

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