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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009

Section 2. Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions: Enrollment by Selected Characteristics and Control of Institution


Figure D. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by selected characteristics: Selected years, 1993 through 2018

Figure D. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by selected characteristics: Selected years, 1993 through 2018

NOTE: Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. The racial/ethnic backgrounds of nonresident aliens are not known.
SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), "Fall Enrollment Survey," various years; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions by Race/Ethnicity Model. (See reference tables 10, 11 and 1922.)

Enrollment by age of student

Between 2007 and 2018, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure D; reference figures 11, 13, and 14 and tables 11–13) is projected to increase

  • 9 percent for students who are 18 to 24 years old;
  • 25 percent for students who are 25 through 34 years old; and
  • 12 percent for students who are 35 years old and over.

Enrollment by sex of student

Between 2007 and 2018, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure D; reference figure 12 and tables 10–21) is projected to increase

  • 9 percent for men; and
  • 16 percent for women.

Enrollment by attendance status

Between 2007 and 2018, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment(figure D; reference figure 15 and tables 10–21) is projected to increase

  • 15 percent for full-time students; and
  • 10 percent for part-time students.

Enrollment by level

Between 2007 and 2018, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure D; reference figures 18 and 19 and tables 19–21) is projected to increase

  • 12 percent for undergraduate students;
  • 18 percent for graduate students; and
  • 20 percent for first-professional students (see the glossary for a definition of first-professional).

Enrollment by race/ethnicity

Between 2007 and 2018, enrollment (figure D, reference figure 20 and table 22) is projected to increase

  • 4 percent for students who are White;
  • 26 percent for students who are Black;
  • 38 percent for students who are Hispanic;
  • 29 percent for students who are Asian or Pacific Islanders;
  • 32 percent for students who are American Indian or Alaska Native; and
  • 14 percent for students who are nonresident aliens.

Figure E. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by control of institution: Selected years, 1993 through 2018

Figure E. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by control of institution: Selected years, 1993 through 2018

SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), "Fall Enrollment Survey," various years; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model. (See reference table 10.)

Enrollment in public and private institutions

Between 2007 and 2018, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure E; reference figure 16 and tables 10 and 15–22) is projected to increase

  • 13 percent in public institutions; and
  • 13 percent in private institutions.


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