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Projections of Education Statistics to 2017

NCES 2008-078
September 2008


Table B-6.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for macroeconomic measures of the economy: School years 1992–93 through 2017–18

[In thousands]

School year Disposable income
per capita in
constant 2004–05 dollars1
Education revenue receipts
from state sources
per capita in
constant 2004–05 dollars2
Consumer Price Index
       
Actual      
1992–93 $24,529 $616 0.716
1993–94 24,624 614 0.735
1994–95 25,136 642 0.756
1995–96 25,410 660 0.776
1996–97 25,937 680 0.798
1997–98 26,879 711 0.813
1998–99 27,794 742 0.827
1999–2000 28,461 777 0.851
2000–01 29,113 803 0.880
2001–02 29,686 808 0.895
2002–03 29,831 812 0.915
2003–04 30,627 798 0.935
2004–05 31,130 807 0.963
2005–06 31,251 798 1.000
Middle alternative projections      
2006–07 32,005 826 1.020
2007–08 32,881 853 1.040
2008–09 33,764 879 1.063
2009–10 34,686 906 1.084
2010–11 35,554 932 1.105
2011–12 36,310 955 1.126
2012–13 36,935 976 1.147
2013–14 37,570 997 1.169
2014–15 38,306 1,024 1.190
2015–16 39,089 1,052 1.214
2016–17 39,877 1,081 1.237
2017–18 40,703 1,110 1.261
Low alternative projections      
2006–07 31,979 826 1.022
2007–08 32,586 844 1.051
2008–09 33,011 855 1.083
2009–10 33,496 868 1.116
2010–11 33,934 880 1.148
2011–12 34,309 891 1.184
2012–13 34,659 903 1.222
2013–14 35,055 917 1.262
2014–15 35,588 936 1.306
2015–16 36,159 957 1.354
2016–17 36,750 978 1.404
2017–18 37,370 1,001 1.457
High alternative projections      
2006–07 32,031 827 1.018
2007–08 33,196 863 1.029
2008–09 34,281 895 1.046
2009–10 35,326 926 1.060
2010–11 36,397 959 1.076
2011–12 37,407 990 1.093
2012–13 38,308 1,020 1.106
2013–14 39,226 1,051 1.119
2014–15 40,164 1,084 1.132
2015–16 41,149 1,120 1.147
2016–17 42,187 1,157 1.164
2017–18 43,291 1,197 1.182
1 Based on the price deflator for personal consumption expenditures, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.
2 Based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.
NOTE: Calculations were made using unrounded numbers. Some data have been revised from previously published figures.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “National Public Education Financial Survey,” 1989–90 through 2004–05; Revenue Receipts From State Sources Model, 1971–72 through 2004–05; and Global Insight, Inc., "U.S. Quarterly Model: February 2007 Long-Term-Projections." (This table was prepared December 2007.)