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Projections of Education Statistics to 2017

NCES 2008-078
September 2008

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Table A-24.  Degrees conferred (assumptions)

Variable Assumptions Alternative Table
       
Associate's degrees      
       
Men The number of associate's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions to the male population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 27
       
Women The number of associate's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions to the female population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 27
       
       
Bachelor's degrees      
       
Men The number of bachelor's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions to the male population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 28
       
Women The number of bachelor's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions to the female population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 28
       
       
Master's degrees      
       
Men The number of master's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male graduate school enrollment to the male population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 29
       
Women The number of master's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female graduate school enrollment to the female population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 29
       
       
Doctor's degrees      
       
Men The number of doctor's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male graduate school enrollment to the male population of 35- to 44-year-olds, weighted over the the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 30
       
Women The number of doctor's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female graduate school enrollment to the female population of 35- to 44-year-olds, weighted over the the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 30
       
       
First-professional degrees      
       
Men The number of first-professional degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male first-professional school enrollment to the male population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 3 years (where weights are .5, .33, and, .17 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male first-professional school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 31
       
Women The number of first-professional degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female first-professional school enrollment to the female population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 3 years (where weights are .5, .33, and, .17 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female first-professional school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2017–18. Middle 31
       
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Degrees Conferred Model, 1975–76 through 2005–06. (This table was prepared December 2007.)

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