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Projections of Education Statistics to 2017

NCES 2008-078
September 2008


Table A-5.  Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of women

Independent variable Coefficient Standard error T-statistic R2 D.W. statistic
           
Full-time          
           
Age 17 -10.39 2.009 -5.17 0.99 2.39*
Age 18 -6.92 0.377 -18.37    
Age 19 -6.61 0.215 -30.70    
Age 20 -6.80 0.210 -32.45    
Age 21 -7.02 0.209 -33.55    
Age 22 -7.69 0.240 -32.04    
Age 23 -8.18 0.221 -37.02    
Age 24 -8.47 0.211 -40.03    
Age 25 -9.18 0.215 -42.81    
Age 25-29 -9.89 0.211 -46.87    
Age 35-44 -10.14 0.208 -48.78    
LNRYPDRNMA 1.18 0.048 24.48    
LNRUF 0.21 0.062 3.37    
Rho17 0.96 0.052 18.38    
Rho18 0.91 0.070 13.01    
Rho19 0.35 0.138 2.51    
Rho20 0.34 0.142 2.38    
Rho21 0.31 0.131 2.39    
Rho22 0.79 0.073 10.77    
Rho23 0.68 0.088 7.72    
Rho24 0.41 0.105 3.91    
Rho25-29 0.67 0.085 7.90    
Rho30-34 0.45 0.139 3.25    
Rho35-44 0.08 0.120 0.68    
           
Part-time          
           
Age 17 -7.01 0.554 -12.67 0.79 2.34*
Age 18 -4.30 0.301 -14.29    
Age 19 -3.83 0.460 -8.32    
Age 20 -4.04 0.319 -12.68    
Age 21 -4.15 0.334 -12.43    
Age 22 -4.09 0.301 -13.56    
Age 23 -4.35 0.306 -14.21    
Age 24 -4.48 0.330 -13.59    
Age 25 -4.67 0.299 -15.61    
Age 25-29 -4.90 0.303 -16.17    
Age 35-44 -4.67 0.300 -15.54    
LNRYPDRNMA 0.35 0.053 6.69    
Rho17 0.51 0.121 4.22    
Rho18 0.38 0.162 2.35    
Rho19 0.87 0.075 11.65    
Rho20 0.63 0.116 5.40    
Rho21 0.76 0.075 10.16    
Rho22 0.38 0.137 2.78    
Rho23 0.51 0.121 4.18    
Rho24 0.77 0.091 8.46    
Rho25-29 0.54 0.117 4.60    
Rho30-34 0.75 0.073 10.27    
Rho35-44 0.60 0.088 6.82    
* p<.05.
R2 = Coefficient of determination.
D.W. statistic = Durbin-Watson statistic. For an explanation of the Durbin-Watson statistic, see J. Johnston and J. Dinardo, Econometric Methods, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1996.
Where:
AGE(age) = Age-specific intercept term.
Rho(age) = Autocorrelation coefficient for each age.
LNRUF = Log unemployment rate for women.
LNRYPDRNMA = Log of three-period weighted average of per capita disposable income in 2000 dollars, using the present period and the previous two periods.
NOTE: The regression method used to estimate the full-time and part-time equations was the pooled seemingly unrelated regression method with a first-order autocorrelation correction. The time period used to estimate the equations is from 1975 to 2006. The number of observations is 374. For additional information, see M. D. Intriligator, Econometric Models, Techniques, & Applications, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1978, pp. 165–173.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2006. (This table was prepared December 2007.)