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Projections of Education Statistics to 2017

NCES 2008-078
September 2008


Table 33.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for the pupil/teacher ratios in elementary and secondary schools, by control of school: Fall 1992 through fall 2017

Year Total Public Private
       
Actual      
19921 17.2 17.4 15.4
1993 17.1 17.4 15.3
19941 17.1 17.3 15.5
1995 17.1 17.3 15.7
19961 16.9 17.1 15.5
1997 16.6 16.8 15.2
19981 16.3 16.4 15.0
1999 15.9 16.1 14.7
20001 15.9 16.0 14.5
2001 15.7 15.9 14.3
20021 15.7 15.9 14.1
2003 15.7 15.9 13.8
20041 15.5 15.8 13.7
2005 15.4 15.7 13.5
Middle alternative projections      
2006 15.4 15.6 13.5
2007 15.2 15.5 13.2
2008 15.1 15.3 13.0
2009 15.0 15.2 12.8
2010 14.9 15.1 12.6
2011 14.9 15.1 12.4
2012 14.8 15.0 12.2
2013 14.8 14.9 12.1
2014 14.7 14.9 12.0
2015 14.6 14.8 11.9
2016 14.6 14.7 11.8
2017 14.5 14.6 11.8
Low alternative projections      
2006 15.3 15.5 13.5
2007 15.1 15.4 13.4
2008 15.0 15.2 13.1
2009 14.9 15.1 12.9
2010 14.8 15.0 12.7
2011 14.7 14.8 12.5
2012 14.6 14.7 12.4
2013 14.5 14.6 12.3
2014 14.4 14.5 12.1
2015 14.3 14.4 12.0
2016 14.2 14.3 11.9
2017 14.1 14.2 11.8
High alternative projections      
2006 15.3 15.5 13.5
2007 15.2 15.4 13.4
2008 15.1 15.4 13.2
2009 15.1 15.3 13.1
2010 15.0 15.2 12.9
2011 14.9 15.1 12.8
2012 14.9 15.0 12.7
2013 14.8 15.0 12.6
2014 14.7 14.9 12.4
2015 14.7 14.8 12.4
2016 14.6 14.7 12.3
2017 14.5 14.6 12.2
1 Private school numbers are estimated.
NOTE: The pupil/teacher ratios were derived from tables 1 and 32. Teachers reported in full-time equivalents. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1992–93 through 2005–06; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years, 1993–94 through 2005–06; National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2005; and Elementary and Secondary Teacher Model, 1973–2004. (This table was prepared November 2007.)