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Projections of Education Statistics to 2017

NCES 2008-078
September 2008


Table 12.  Actual and low alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in all degree-granting postsecondary institutions, by sex, age, and attendance status: Selected years, fall 1997 through fall 2017

[In thousands]

Sex, age, and attendance status Actual   Projected (low alternative)
1997 2002 2006   2012 2017
             
Total enrollment 14,502 16,612 17,759   18,597 19,404
14 to 17 years old 171 202 231   184 202
18 and 19 years old 3,061 3,571 3,769   3,862 3,851
20 and 21 years old 2,875 3,366 3,648   3,911 3,845
22 to 24 years old 2,475 2,932 3,193   3,496 3,621
25 to 29 years old 1,999 2,102 2,401   2,585 2,915
30 to 34 years old 1,109 1,300 1,409   1,569 1,738
35 years old and over 2,814 3,139 3,107   2,989 3,230
Men 6,396 7,202 7,575   8,088 8,376
14 to 17 years old 56 82 82   78 82
18 and 19 years old 1,414 1,616 1,705   1,771 1,756
20 and 21 years old 1,374 1,562 1,673   1,804 1,758
22 to 24 years old 1,200 1,342 1,470   1,616 1,654
25 to 29 years old 972 890 1,051   1,162 1,306
30 to 34 years old 443 547 557   636 708
35 years old and over 938 1,164 1,037   1,020 1,111
Women 8,106 9,410 10,184   10,509 11,028
14 to 17 years old 115 121 149   106 120
18 and 19 years old 1,647 1,955 2,064   2,091 2,095
20 and 21 years old 1,501 1,804 1,975   2,107 2,088
22 to 24 years old 1,275 1,590 1,724   1,880 1,967
25 to 29 years old 1,027 1,212 1,350   1,423 1,608
30 to 34 years old 666 753 852   933 1,030
35 years old and over 1,877 1,976 2,070   1,969 2,119
Full-time, total 8,438 9,946 10,957   11,469 11,901
14 to 17 years old 123 161 166   128 143
18 and 19 years old 2,534 2,942 3,155   3,220 3,230
20 and 21 years old 2,275 2,759 2,944   3,152 3,123
22 to 24 years old 1,606 1,922 2,093   2,295 2,401
25 to 29 years old 897 1,013 1,217   1,290 1,468
30 to 34 years old 377 465 605   659 738
35 years old and over 626 684 778   726 798
Men 3,890 4,501 4,879   5,231 5,342
14 to 17 years old 48 65 66   61 65
18 and 19 years old 1,154 1,327 1,409   1,464 1,452
20 and 21 years old 1,074 1,275 1,331   1,437 1,400
22 to 24 years old 770 936 1,003   1,108 1,130
25 to 29 years old 475 467 562   624 703
30 to 34 years old 160 183 232   266 297
35 years old and over 210 247 275   271 296
Women 4,548 5,445 6,078   6,239 6,559
14 to 17 years old 75 96 100   66 78
18 and 19 years old 1,380 1,615 1,746   1,756 1,778
20 and 21 years old 1,201 1,484 1,612   1,715 1,723
22 to 24 years old 836 985 1,090   1,187 1,271
25 to 29 years old 422 546 654   667 766
30 to 34 years old 217 282 372   392 441
35 years old and over 416 437 503   455 501
Part-time, total 6,064 6,665 6,802   7,128 7,503
14 to 17 years old 48 41 65   57 59
18 and 19 years old 526 628 614   642 621
20 and 21 years old 600 607 704   759 722
22 to 24 years old 869 1,010 1,100   1,201 1,220
25 to 29 years old 1,101 1,088 1,184   1,295 1,446
30 to 34 years old 732 835 805   911 1,000
35 years old and over 2,188 2,456 2,329   2,263 2,433
Men 2,506 2,701 2,696   2,857 3,034
14 to 17 years old 9 17 16   17 18
18 and 19 years old 260 288 297   307 304
20 and 21 years old 300 287 341   368 357
22 to 24 years old 430 405 466   508 525
25 to 29 years old 497 423 488   538 604
30 to 34 years old 283 364 325   370 411
35 years old and over 728 917 762   749 815
Women 3,559 3,964 4,106   4,271 4,469
14 to 17 years old 39 24 48   40 42
18 and 19 years old 267 340 318   335 318
20 and 21 years old 300 320 363   392 365
22 to 24 years old 439 605 634   693 696
25 to 29 years old 605 666 696   757 843
30 to 34 years old 449 471 480   540 589
35 years old and over 1,460 1,539 1,567   1,514 1,617
NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Data by age are based on the distribution by age from the Census Bureau. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, “Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:97), Spring 2003 and Spring 2007; Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2006; and U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, Current Population Reports, "Social and Economic Characteristics of Students," various years. (This table was prepared November 2007.)

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