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Table 5. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1999 through fall 2017 [In thousands]
|
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1999–2005 | Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005–2011 | 2011–2017 | 2005–2017 | |||
| United States | 4.8 | 3.3 | 6.6 | 10.1 | |
| Northeast | 0.5 | -4.0 | 0.6 | -3.5 | |
| Connecticut | 3.8 | -5.0 | -1.4 | -6.3 | |
| Maine | -6.6 | -8.2 | 0.2 | -8.0 | |
| Massachusetts | 0.0 | -3.7 | -0.3 | -4.0 | |
| New Hampshire | -0.5 | -6.1 | 2.4 | -3.8 | |
| New Jersey | 8.2 | -0.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | |
| New York | -2.5 | -5.2 | # | -5.2 | |
| Pennsylvania | 0.8 | -3.4 | 1.4 | -2.0 | |
| Rhode Island | -1.9 | -10.3 | -1.3 | -11.4 | |
| Vermont | -7.6 | -11.6 | -0.1 | -11.7 | |
| Midwest | 0.9 | -1.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 | |
| Illinois | 4.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.2 | |
| Indiana | 4.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | |
| Iowa | -2.8 | -0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | |
| Kansas | -1.0 | -1.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | |
| Michigan | 0.9 | -6.0 | -0.2 | -6.2 | |
| Minnesota | -1.7 | -1.4 | 5.6 | 4.2 | |
| Missouri | 0.4 | -0.1 | 3.6 | 3.5 | |
| Nebraska | -0.6 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 4.6 | |
| North Dakota | -12.8 | -7.3 | -0.3 | -7.6 | |
| Ohio | 0.2 | -3.2 | -0.1 | -3.2 | |
| South Dakota | -6.9 | -2.2 | 2.6 | 0.4 | |
| Wisconsin | -0.3 | -2.4 | 3.3 | 0.9 | |
| South | 7.5 | 8.3 | 10.0 | 19.1 | |
| Alabama | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.6 | |
| Arkansas | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 9.9 | |
| Delaware | 7.2 | 5.9 | 6.8 | 13.1 | |
| District of Columbia | -0.4 | 3.3 | 10.7 | 14.3 | |
| Florida | 12.3 | 12.1 | 15.0 | 28.9 | |
| Georgia | 12.3 | 13.5 | 12.0 | 27.1 | |
| Kentucky | 4.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.7 | |
| Louisiana | -13.5 | -11.7 | -0.8 | -12.4 | |
| Maryland | 1.6 | -1.7 | 7.0 | 5.3 | |
| Mississippi | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
| North Carolina | 11.0 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 23.1 | |
| Oklahoma | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 7.4 | |
| South Carolina | 5.2 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 7.8 | |
| Tennessee | 4.1 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 10.4 | |
| Texas | 13.4 | 15.8 | 14.7 | 32.9 | |
| Virginia | 7.1 | 4.5 | 8.1 | 13.0 | |
| West Virginia | -3.8 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -3.5 | |
| West | 7.8 | 5.2 | 9.2 | 14.9 | |
| Alaska | 5.0 | -5.2 | 11.9 | 6.1 | |
| Arizona | 28.4 | 21.0 | 19.7 | 44.8 | |
| California | 6.6 | 1.6 | 7.0 | 8.7 | |
| Colorado | 10.1 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 18.9 | |
| Hawaii | -1.6 | 3.8 | 8.9 | 13.0 | |
| Idaho | 6.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 22.9 | |
| Montana | -7.7 | -3.5 | 4.0 | 0.4 | |
| Nevada | 26.7 | 20.4 | 18.9 | 43.2 | |
| New Mexico | 0.7 | 3.5 | 7.3 | 11.1 | |
| Oregon | 1.3 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 11.2 | |
| Utah | 5.9 | 15.6 | 10.3 | 27.5 | |
| Washington | 2.8 | 0.5 | 6.8 | 7.4 | |
| Wyoming | -8.4 | -0.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 | |
| # Rounds to zero. |
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 1999–2000 through 2005–06; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2005. (This table was prepared December 2007.) |
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