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Projections of Education Statistics to 2017

NCES 2008-078
September 2008


Table 3.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by grade: Fall 1992 through fall 2017

[In thousands]

Year   Grade
Total PK K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Elemen-
tary un-
graded
Second-
ary un-
graded
                                   
Actual                                  
1992 42,823 505 3,313 3,542 3,431 3,361 3,342 3,325 3,303 3,299 3,129 3,352 3,027 2,656 2,431 539 269
1993 43,465 545 3,377 3,529 3,429 3,437 3,361 3,350 3,356 3,355 3,249 3,487 3,050 2,751 2,424 515 248
1994 44,111 603 3,444 3,593 3,440 3,439 3,426 3,372 3,381 3,404 3,302 3,604 3,131 2,748 2,488 494 242
1995 44,840 637 3,536 3,671 3,507 3,445 3,431 3,438 3,395 3,422 3,356 3,704 3,237 2,826 2,487 502 245
1996 45,611 670 3,532 3,770 3,600 3,524 3,454 3,453 3,494 3,464 3,403 3,801 3,323 2,930 2,586 401 206
1997 46,127 695 3,503 3,755 3,689 3,597 3,507 3,458 3,492 3,520 3,415 3,819 3,376 2,972 2,673 442 214
1998 46,539 729 3,443 3,727 3,681 3,696 3,592 3,520 3,497 3,530 3,480 3,856 3,382 3,021 2,722 451 212
1999 46,857 751 3,397 3,684 3,656 3,691 3,686 3,604 3,564 3,541 3,497 3,935 3,415 3,034 2,782 417 203
2000 47,204 776 3,382 3,636 3,634 3,676 3,711 3,707 3,663 3,629 3,538 3,963 3,491 3,083 2,803 336 175
2001 47,672 865 3,379 3,614 3,593 3,653 3,695 3,727 3,769 3,720 3,616 4,012 3,528 3,174 2,863 306 157
2002 48,183 915 3,434 3,594 3,565 3,623 3,669 3,711 3,788 3,821 3,709 4,105 3,584 3,229 2,990 287 160
2003 48,540 950 3,503 3,613 3,544 3,611 3,619 3,685 3,772 3,841 3,809 4,190 3,675 3,277 3,046 256 149
2004 48,795 990 3,544 3,663 3,560 3,580 3,612 3,635 3,735 3,818 3,825 4,281 3,750 3,369 3,094 216 121
2005 49,113 1,036 3,619 3,691 3,606 3,586 3,578 3,633 3,670 3,777 3,802 4,287 3,866 3,455 3,180 206 120
Projected                                  
2006 49,464 1,081 3,775 3,747 3,636 3,637 3,587 3,595 3,680 3,716 3,761 4,279 3,848 3,543 3,251 206 121
2007 49,644 1,070 3,736 3,908 3,691 3,667 3,638 3,605 3,642 3,726 3,701 4,234 3,840 3,525 3,334 206 122
2008 49,825 1,077 3,761 3,913 3,850 3,723 3,668 3,656 3,651 3,687 3,710 4,166 3,799 3,519 3,318 206 121
2009 50,067 1,085 3,790 3,938 3,854 3,883 3,724 3,686 3,703 3,697 3,672 4,176 3,738 3,481 3,311 207 120
2010 50,353 1,095 3,823 3,968 3,880 3,887 3,884 3,743 3,734 3,750 3,682 4,133 3,748 3,425 3,276 209 118
2011 50,722 1,105 3,858 4,003 3,909 3,913 3,888 3,903 3,791 3,781 3,734 4,144 3,709 3,434 3,223 211 116
2012 51,194 1,115 3,895 4,040 3,943 3,942 3,914 3,908 3,953 3,838 3,765 4,203 3,719 3,398 3,231 213 115
2013 51,701 1,127 3,935 4,078 3,980 3,977 3,943 3,933 3,958 4,003 3,822 4,238 3,772 3,408 3,198 216 114
2014 52,284 1,139 3,976 4,120 4,018 4,014 3,978 3,963 3,984 4,008 3,986 4,302 3,803 3,456 3,207 218 113
2015 52,910 1,150 4,016 4,163 4,059 4,052 4,015 3,998 4,014 4,034 3,991 4,487 3,861 3,485 3,252 220 114
2016 53,503 1,160 4,052 4,205 4,101 4,093 4,053 4,035 4,049 4,065 4,017 4,492 4,026 3,538 3,279 222 116
2017 54,087 1,169 4,083 4,242 4,142 4,136 4,095 4,073 4,086 4,100 4,048 4,522 4,031 3,689 3,329 224 117
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1992–93 through 2005–06; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2005. (This table was prepared November 2007.)