Projections of Education Statistics to 2017 - Section 3. High School Graduates: Accuracy of Projections

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Projections of Education Statistics to 2017

NCES 2008-078
September 2008

List of Tables
List of Figures
List of Abbreviations
Introduction
Section 1. Elementary and Secondary Enrollment
Section 2. Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions
Section 3. High School Graduates
- Introduction
- National
- State and Regional
- Accuracy of Projections
Section 4. Degrees Conferred
Section 5. Elementary and Secondary Teachers
Section 6. Expenditures of Public Elementary and Secondary Schools
Projection Methodology
Data Sources
Glossary
PDF & Related Info
William J. Hussar

Section 3. High School Graduates: Accuracy of Projections

For NCES projections of public high school graduates produced over the last 17 years, the mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) for lead times of 1, 2, 5, and 10 years out were 0.8, 0.8, 1.8, and 3.9, respectively. For more information, see table A-2 in appendix A.

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National Center for Education Statistics - http://nces.ed.gov
U.S. Department of Education

U.S. Department of Education
Institute of Education Sciences
National Center for Education Statistics