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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table B-6. Actual and alternative projected numbers for macroeconomic measures of the economy: School years 1991–92 through 2016–17
 
School year Disposable income per capita1 Education revenue receipts from state sources per capita2 Consumer Price Index
Actual
1991–92 23,505 595 0.721
1992–93 23,751 594 0.743
1993–94 23,843 592 0.763
1994–95 24,338 618 0.785
1995–96 24,603 636 0.806
1996–97 25,114 655 0.829
1997–98 26,026 685 0.844
1998–99 26,912 714 0.859
1999–2000 27,558 748 0.883
2000–01 28,191 774 0.913
2001–02 28,756 779 0.930
2002–03 28,922 783 0.950
2003–04 29,686 769 0.971
2004–05 30,183 789 1.000
 
Middle alternative projections
2005–06 30,442 801 1.034
2006–07 31,440 838 1.053
2007–08 32,108 858 1.073
2008–09 32,929 882 1.094
2009–10 33,787 908 1.115
2010–11 34,498 929 1.137
2011–12 35,085 947 1.160
2012–13 35,722 969 1.186
2013–14 36,444 994 1.211
2014–15 37,267 1,023 1.237
2015–16 38,146 1,056 1.263
2016–17 39,036 1,089 1.290
 
Low alternative projections
2005–06 30,383 799 1.035
2006–07 31,111 827 1.060
2007–08 31,535 839 1.091
2008–09 32,156 857 1.126
2009–10 32,823 876 1.160
2010–11 33,301 889 1.194
2011–12 33,660 900 1.234
2012–13 34,141 916 1.277
2013–14 34,717 936 1.324
2014–15 35,447 962 1.374
2015–16 36,217 990 1.427
2016–17 36,973 1,018 1.481
 
High alternative projections
2005–06 30,459 802 1.033
2006–07 31,643 844 1.046
2007–08 32,633 875 1.061
2008–09 33,669 907 1.076
2009–10 34,735 939 1.092
2010–11 35,665 968 1.109
2011–12 36,454 993 1.127
2012–13 37,296 1,022 1.145
2013–14 38,162 1,052 1.163
2014–15 39,027 1,084 1.180
2015–16 39,973 1,119 1.199
2016–17 41,011 1,157 1.220
1 In 2003–04 dollars based on the price deflator for personal consumption expenditures, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.
2 In 2003–04 dollars based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.
NOTE: Calculations were made using unrounded numbers.  Some data have been revised from previously published figures.
SOURCE:  U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “National Public Education Financial Survey,” 1989–90 through 2003–04; Revenue Receipts From State Sources Model, 1971–72 through 2003–04; and Global Insight, Inc., "U.S. Quarterly Model: February 2006 Long-Term-Projections." (This table was prepared December 2006.)
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