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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table A-16.  Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Black men
 
Independent variable Coefficient Standard error T-statistic R2 D.W. statistic
Full-time
Age 17 -8.94 0.445 -20.10 0.97 1.95*
Age 18 -6.77 0.438 -15.46
Age 19 -6.51 0.437 -14.89
Age 20 -6.62 0.438 -15.11
Age 21 -6.89 0.438 -15.71
Age 22 -7.10 0.440 -16.14
Age 23 -7.55 0.445 -16.98
Age 24 -7.79 0.439 -17.75
Age 25-29 -8.60 0.440 -19.53
Age 30-34 -9.43 0.447 -21.11
Age 35 and up -9.80 0.442 -22.15
LNYPDNBNH 0.28 0.024 11.75
 
Part-time
Age 17 -10.50 1.005 -10.45 0.99 2.00*
Age 18 -8.24 0.500 -16.46
Age 19 -7.45 0.488 -15.28
Age 20 -7.32 0.480 -15.25
Age 21 -7.32 0.473 -15.47
Age 22 -7.21 0.488 -14.76
Age 23 -7.67 0.491 -15.63
Age 24 -7.71 0.483 -15.96
Age 25-29 -7.66 0.472 -16.22
Age 30-34 -7.90 0.470 -16.81
Age 35 and up -7.98 0.468 -17.04
LNYPDNBNH 0.24 0.025 9.31    
* p<.05.
R2 = Coefficient of determination.
D.W. statistic = Durbin-Watson statistic. For an explanation of the Durbin-Watson statistic, see J. Johnston and J. Dinardo, Econometric Methods, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1996.
Where:
AGE(age) = Age-specific intercept term.
LNYPDNBNH = Log of Black per capita disposable income in current dollars.
NOTE: The regression method used to estimate the full-time and part-time equations was the pooled seemingly unrelated regression method. The time period used to estimate the equations is from 1980 to 2005. The number of observations is 286. For additional information, see M. D. Intriligator, Econometric Models, Techniques, & Applications, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1978, pp. 165–173.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1980–2005. (This table was prepared December 2006.)
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