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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 33.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for the pupil/teacher ratios in elementary and secondary schools, by control of school: Fall 1991 through fall 2016
 
Year  Total   Public   Private
Actual 
1991  17.1 17.3 15.6
1992 1  17.2 17.4 15.4
1993  17.1 17.4 15.3
1994 1  17.1 17.3 15.5
1995  17.1 17.3 15.7
1996 1  16.9 17.1 15.5
1997  16.6 16.8 15.2
1998 1  16.3 16.4 15.0
1999  15.9 16.1 14.7
2000 1  15.9 16.0 14.5
2001  15.7 15.9 14.3
2002 1  15.7 15.9 14.1
2003  15.7 15.9 13.8
2004 1  15.5 15.8 13.7
 
Middle alternative projections 
2005  15.5 15.7 13.5
2006  15.3 15.5 13.4
2007  15.2 15.4 13.2
2008  15.1 15.3 13.0
2009  15.0 15.2 12.8
2010  15.0 15.1 12.7
2011  14.9 15.1 12.5
2012  14.8 15.0 12.4
2013  14.8 14.9 12.3
2014  14.7 14.8 12.2
2015  14.6 14.7 12.1
2016  14.5 14.6 12.0
 
Low alternative projections 
2005  15.5 15.7 13.5
2006  15.3 15.5 13.4
2007  15.2 15.4 13.1
2008  15.0 15.2 12.9
2009  14.9 15.1 12.7
2010  14.8 15.0 12.6
2011  14.8 14.9 12.4
2012  14.7 14.8 12.3
2013  14.6 14.7 12.2
2014  14.5 14.6 12.1
2015  14.5 14.6 12.0
2016  14.4 14.5 11.9
 
High alternative projections 
2005  15.5 15.7 13.6
2006  15.4 15.6 13.4
2007  15.3 15.5 13.3
2008  15.2 15.4 13.1
2009  15.1 15.3 12.9
2010  15.1 15.3 12.8
2011  15.0 15.2 12.7
2012  15.0 15.1 12.5
2013  14.9 15.1 12.4
2014  14.8 15.0 12.3
2015  14.8 14.9 12.2
2016  14.7   14.8   12.1
1 Private school numbers are estimated.
NOTE: The pupil/teacher ratios were derived from tables 2 and 31. Teachers reported in full-time equivalents. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1991–92 through 2004–05; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years, 1991–92 through 2003–04; National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2004; and Elementary and Secondary Teacher Model, 1973–2003. (This table was prepared January 2007.)
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