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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 30.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for doctor’s degrees, by sex of recipient: 1991–92 through 2016–17
 
Year  Total  Men  Women 
Actual 
1991–92  40,659 25,557 15,102
1992–93  42,132 26,073 16,059
1993–94  43,185 26,552 16,633
1994–95  44,446 26,916 17,530
1995–96  44,652 26,841 17,811
1996–97  45,876 27,146 18,730
1997–98  46,010 26,664 19,346
1998–99  44,077 25,146 18,931
1999–2000  44,808 25,028 19,780
2000–01  44,904 24,728 20,176
2001–02  44,160 23,708 20,452
2002–03  46,024 24,341 21,683
2003–04  48,378 25,323 23,055
2004–05  52,631 26,973 25,658
 
Middle alternative projections 
2005–06  54,700 27,200 27,500
2006–07  55,800 27,200 28,600
2007–08  56,700 27,100 29,600
2008–09  57,300 27,000 30,200
2009–10  57,800 27,000 30,800
2010–11  58,600 27,100 31,500
2011–12  59,900 27,400 32,400
2012–13  61,400 27,900 33,500
2013–14  63,200 28,400 34,900
2014–15  65,200 28,900 36,300
2015–16  67,100 29,300 37,900
2016–17  69,300 29,800 39,500
 
Low alternative projections 
2005–06  54,700 27,200 27,500
2006–07  53,400 26,000 27,400
2007–08  55,000 26,300 28,700
2008–09  54,300 25,600 28,700
2009–10  55,400 25,800 29,500
2010–11  57,300 26,500 30,800
2011–12  56,500 25,900 30,600
2012–13  57,900 26,300 31,600
2013–14  59,700 26,800 32,900
2014–15  61,500 27,200 34,300
2015–16  63,300 27,600 35,700
2016–17  65,400 28,100 37,300
 
High alternative projections 
2005–06  54,700 27,200 27,500
2006–07  58,200 28,300 29,900
2007–08  58,400 27,900 30,500
2008–09  60,200 28,400 31,800
2009–10  60,200 28,100 32,100
2010–11  60,000 27,700 32,200
2011–12  63,300 29,000 34,300
2012–13  64,900 29,500 35,400
2013–14  66,800 30,000 36,800
2014–15  68,900 30,500 38,400
2015–16  70,900 30,900 40,000
2016–17  73,200 31,400 41,800
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Completions Survey" (IPEDS-C:92–99), and Fall 2000 through Fall 2005; and Degrees Conferred Model, 1975–76 through 2004–05. (This table was prepared June 2007.)
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