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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 28.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for bachelorís degrees, by sex of recipient: 1991–92 through 2016–17
 
Year  Total  Men  Women 
Actual 
1991–92  1,136,553 520,811 615,742
1992–93  1,165,178 532,881 632,297
1993–94  1,169,275 532,422 636,853
1994–95  1,160,134 526,131 634,003
1995–96  1,164,792 522,454 642,338
1996–97  1,172,879 520,515 652,364
1997–98  1,184,406 519,956 664,450
1998–99  1,200,303 518,746 681,557
1999–2000  1,237,875 530,367 707,508
2000–01  1,244,171 531,840 712,331
2001–02  1,291,900 549,816 742,084
2002–03  1,348,503 573,079 775,424
2003–04  1,399,542 595,425 804,117
2004–05  1,439,264 613,000 826,264
 
Middle alternative projections 
2005–06  1,461,000 619,000 843,000
2006–07  1,502,000 629,000 873,000
2007–08  1,548,000 647,000 901,000
2008–09  1,598,000 665,000 933,000
2009–10  1,644,000 681,000 962,000
2010–11  1,679,000 693,000 986,000
2011–12  1,710,000 702,000 1,007,000
2012–13  1,738,000 710,000 1,028,000
2013–14  1,762,000 715,000 1,047,000
2014–15  1,781,000 716,000 1,065,000
2015–16  1,794,000 714,000 1,080,000
2016–17  1,813,000 713,000 1,100,000
 
Low alternative projections 
2005–06  1,461,000 619,000 843,000
2006–07  1,472,000 617,000 856,000
2007–08  1,504,000 629,000 876,000
2008–09  1,534,000 639,000 895,000
2009–10  1,545,000 641,000 905,000
2010–11  1,553,000 641,000 912,000
2011–12  1,560,000 641,000 919,000
2012–13  1,586,000 648,000 938,000
2013–14  1,607,000 652,000 955,000
2014–15  1,625,000 653,000 971,000
2015–16  1,636,000 651,000 985,000
2016–17  1,654,000 651,000 1,004,000
 
High alternative projections 
2005–06  1,461,000 619,000 843,000
2006–07  1,532,000 642,000 890,000
2007–08  1,592,000 665,000 927,000
2008–09  1,662,000 692,000 970,000
2009–10  1,742,000 722,000 1,020,000
2010–11  1,804,000 745,000 1,059,000
2011–12  1,860,000 764,000 1,096,000
2012–13  1,891,000 773,000 1,118,000
2013–14  1,916,000 778,000 1,138,000
2014–15  1,937,000 779,000 1,158,000
2015–16  1,951,000 776,000 1,175,000
2016–17  1,973,000 776,000 1,197,000
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Completions Survey" (IPEDS-C:92–99), and Fall 2000 through Fall 2005; and Degrees Conferred Model, 1975–76 through 2004–05. (This table was prepared December 2006.)
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