| Table 26. Actual and projected percentage changes in public high school graduates, by region and state: Selected years, 1998–99 through 2016–17 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1998–99 to 2003–04 |
Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003–04 to 2010–11 |
2010–11 to 2016–17 |
2003–04 to 2016–17 |
|||
| United States | 12.0 | 6.7 | -0.4 | 6.3 | |
| Northeast | 12.9 | 6.5 | -5.7 | 0.5 | |
| Connecticut | 22.2 | 5.4 | -3.5 | 1.7 | |
| Maine | 10.8 | -11.8 | -7.7 | -18.7 | |
| Massachusetts | 13.3 | 0.9 | -7.2 | -6.4 | |
| New Hampshire | 18.3 | -0.2 | -6.7 | -6.9 | |
| New Jersey | 24.4 | 20.1 | -0.9 | 19.1 | |
| New York | 7.9 | 7.7 | -7.6 | -0.5 | |
| Pennsylvania | 9.6 | 2.9 | -6.0 | -3.3 | |
| Rhode Island | 13.2 | 5.4 | -10.9 | -6.1 | |
| Vermont | 8.9 | -13.0 | -10.3 | -21.9 | |
| Midwest | 5.5 | 0.9 | -4.5 | -3.6 | |
| Illinois | 10.8 | 4.5 | -4.1 | 0.1 | |
| Indiana | -5.0 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 12.7 | |
| Iowa | -0.1 | 0.5 | -2.1 | -1.6 | |
| Kansas | 5.1 | -5.5 | 0.5 | -5.0 | |
| Michigan | 5.0 | 4.1 | -6.8 | -3.0 | |
| Minnesota | 3.7 | -2.5 | -4.2 | -6.6 | |
| Missouri | 10.4 | 2.3 | -3.9 | -1.6 | |
| Nebraska | -1.2 | -1.1 | 0.1 | -0.9 | |
| North Dakota | -6.0 | -12.8 | -17.9 | -28.4 | |
| Ohio | 7.1 | 0.7 | -6.9 | -6.3 | |
| South Dakota | 2.8 | -13.2 | -7.9 | -20.1 | |
| Wisconsin | 9.1 | -9.5 | -7.3 | -16.1 | |
| South | 13.4 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 14.9 | |
| Alabama | 0.6 | 5.0 | -5.6 | -0.9 | |
| Arkansas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 5.3 | |
| Delaware | 7.2 | 12.8 | -2.7 | 9.8 | |
| District of Columbia | 13.3 | 19.7 | -30.2 | -16.5 | |
| Florida | 28.4 | 21.6 | 9.2 | 32.7 | |
| Georgia | 15.7 | 17.9 | 9.2 | 27.8 | |
| Kentucky | 2.0 | -0.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | |
| Louisiana | -2.1 | -4.6 | -6.0 | -10.3 | |
| Maryland | 14.4 | 7.5 | -6.1 | 0.9 | |
| Mississippi | -1.9 | 5.8 | -6.1 | -0.7 | |
| North Carolina | 20.0 | 16.1 | 8.4 | 25.9 | |
| Oklahoma | 0.7 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | |
| South Carolina | 5.5 | 9.5 | -0.1 | 9.3 | |
| Tennessee | 12.9 | 7.0 | -0.4 | 6.5 | |
| Texas | 20.0 | 9.5 | 8.7 | 19.0 | |
| Virginia | 12.8 | 13.2 | 1.3 | 14.6 | |
| West Virginia | -12.8 | -2.6 | -3.8 | -6.3 | |
| West | 12.8 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 12.1 | |
| Alaska | 6.3 | -3.8 | -1.2 | -5.0 | |
| Arizona | 27.4 | 28.9 | 10.9 | 43.0 | |
| California | 14.8 | 12.7 | -3.6 | 8.7 | |
| Colorado | 21.2 | 7.6 | 6.4 | 14.5 | |
| Hawaii | 6.3 | 0.3 | -6.6 | -6.4 | |
| Idaho | -1.1 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 20.1 | |
| Montana | -3.9 | -10.1 | -7.6 | -17.0 | |
| Nevada | 9.4 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 68.0 | |
| New Mexico | 3.3 | 2.5 | -1.3 | 1.2 | |
| Oregon | 16.7 | -1.8 | 0.7 | -1.1 | |
| Utah | -4.2 | 17.9 | 23.1 | 45.1 | |
| Washington | 10.6 | -0.3 | -2.2 | -2.5 | |
| Wyoming | -8.1 | -12.3 | -4.4 | -16.1 | |
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1999–2000 and 2004–05; and State Public High School Graduates Model, 1980–81 through 2003–04. (This table was prepared December 2006.) |
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