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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 15.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for enrollment in public 4-year degree-granting postsecondary institutions, by sex and attendance status: Fall 1991 through fall 2016

[In thousands]
Year  Total   Men   Women
  Full-time Part-time   Full-time Part-time
Actual 
1991  5,905 2,006 765 2,083 1,051
1992  5,900 2,005 760 2,090 1,045
1993  5,852 1,989 750 2,085 1,027
1994  5,825 1,966 738 2,100 1,022
1995  5,815 1,951 720 2,134 1,009
1996  5,806 1,943 703 2,163 997
1997  5,835 1,951 687 2,214 984
1998  5,892 1,959 685 2,260 988
1999  5,970 1,984 686 2,309 991
2000  6,055 2,009 683 2,363 1,001
2001  6,236 2,082 687 2,450 1,017
2002  6,482 2,167 706 2,557 1,052
2003  6,649 2,225 713 2,639 1,073
2004  6,737 2,260 717 2,684 1,076
2005  6,838 2,295 724 2,726 1,091
 
Middle alternative projections 
2006  6,930 2,316 710 2,823 1,082
2007  7,054 2,355 715 2,899 1,085
2008  7,186 2,397 720 2,978 1,090
2009  7,318 2,439 725 3,058 1,095
2010  7,444 2,477 731 3,136 1,100
2011  7,566 2,508 738 3,213 1,106
2012  7,685 2,531 746 3,293 1,115
2013  7,809 2,548 755 3,379 1,126
2014  7,930 2,562 763 3,468 1,137
2015  8,036 2,569 770 3,552 1,145
2016  8,142 2,578 776 3,635 1,153
 
Low alternative projections 
2006  6,908 2,312 709 2,806 1,080
2007  7,006 2,346 713 2,865 1,082
2008  7,118 2,383 717 2,931 1,086
2009  7,232 2,421 722 2,999 1,090
2010  7,334 2,454 727 3,060 1,094
2011  7,432 2,481 733 3,120 1,099
2012  7,536 2,500 741 3,187 1,108
2013  7,646 2,514 749 3,264 1,119
2014  7,759 2,526 757 3,347 1,129
2015  7,857 2,532 763 3,425 1,137
2016  7,953 2,539 769 3,500 1,145
 
High alternative projections 
2006  6,943 2,318 710 2,832 1,083
2007  7,100 2,364 717 2,931 1,088
2008  7,254 2,411 723 3,025 1,094
2009  7,406 2,458 729 3,119 1,100
2010  7,553 2,500 735 3,213 1,105
2011  7,695 2,536 743 3,304 1,112
2012  7,834 2,562 752 3,397 1,122
2013  7,971 2,582 761 3,494 1,134
2014  8,094 2,595 769 3,585 1,144
2015  8,203 2,602 776 3,673 1,152
2016  8,321   2,613 782   3,765 1,161
NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Data for 1999 were imputed using alternative procedures. (For more details, see appendix E of Projections of Education Statistics to 2011.) Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey" (IPEDS-EF:91–99), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2006; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2005. (This table was prepared November 2006.)
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