| Table 9. Actual and projected percentage changes in 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1998 through fall 2016 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1998–2004 | Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-2010 | 2010-2016 | 2004-2016 | |||
| United States | 10.8 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 5.2 | |
| Northeast | 11.0 | -3.3 | -1.1 | -4.3 | |
| Connecticut | 19.2 | -3.6 | -0.7 | -4.3 | |
| Maine | 4.9 | -13.9 | 0.7 | -13.3 | |
| Massachusetts | 13.9 | -6.1 | -0.6 | -6.7 | |
| New Hampshire | 14.9 | -7.5 | -0.7 | -8.2 | |
| New Jersey | 25.5 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 5.2 | |
| New York | 5.2 | -3.3 | -2.5 | -5.7 | |
| Pennsylvania | 8.0 | -3.6 | -1.2 | -4.7 | |
| Rhode Island | 16.9 | -6.9 | -8.7 | -15.0 | |
| Vermont | 1.7 | -16.3 | -3.4 | -19.1 | |
| Midwest | 5.7 | -2.6 | 1.4 | -1.2 | |
| Illinois | 9.6 | 4.6 | -2.7 | 1.8 | |
| Indiana | 3.3 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 7.1 | |
| Iowa | -4.6 | -2.8 | 8.4 | 5.4 | |
| Kansas | 2.1 | -6.0 | 6.3 | -0.1 | |
| Michigan | 13.6 | -4.3 | -1.2 | -5.4 | |
| Minnesota | 3.8 | -5.0 | 5.1 | -0.1 | |
| Missouri | 5.4 | -3.0 | 4.7 | 1.5 | |
| Nebraska | -0.5 | -3.4 | 8.4 | 4.8 | |
| North Dakota | -12.1 | -12.6 | -8.9 | -20.3 | |
| Ohio | 5.9 | -4.4 | 0.5 | -3.9 | |
| South Dakota | -6.5 | -11.8 | 1.8 | -10.2 | |
| Wisconsin | 2.9 | -10.8 | 0.9 | -9.9 | |
| South | 11.5 | 3.0 | 10.3 | 13.6 | |
| Alabama | 1.3 | -2.1 | 2.7 | 0.5 | |
| Arkansas | 1.4 | -0.9 | 8.9 | 8.0 | |
| Delaware | 6.6 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 14.2 | |
| District of Columbia | 29.2 | -0.2 | -21.7 | -21.9 | |
| Florida | 23.3 | 5.3 | 12.2 | 18.2 | |
| Georgia | 17.0 | 7.4 | 16.9 | 25.5 | |
| Kentucky | -1.2 | -0.7 | 7.1 | 6.4 | |
| Louisiana | -9.4 | -5.4 | 3.1 | -2.4 | |
| Maryland | 14.0 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -2.4 | |
| Mississippi | -1.9 | -0.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | |
| North Carolina | 19.8 | 5.2 | 12.0 | 17.8 | |
| Oklahoma | -2.2 | -2.7 | # | 3.8 | |
| South Carolina | 6.8 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 6.4 | |
| Tennessee | 12.2 | -0.8 | 9.1 | 8.2 | |
| Texas | 13.4 | 6.6 | 15.2 | 22.8 | |
| Virginia | 18.2 | 2.9 | 6.6 | 9.7 | |
| West Virginia | -9.9 | -3.7 | 3.6 | -0.2 | |
| West | 14.8 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 6.2 | |
| Alaska | 6.8 | -9.8 | 4.0 | -6.1 | |
| Arizona | 42.4 | 16.1 | 10.1 | 27.8 | |
| California | 16.8 | 2.7 | -2.9 | -0.3 | |
| Colorado | 14.0 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 12.8 | |
| Hawaii | 1.9 | -4.2 | 5.5 | 1.2 | |
| Idaho | 2.3 | 4.9 | 17.4 | 23.1 | |
| Montana | -4.8 | -11.3 | 4.2 | -7.6 | |
| Nevada | 36.1 | 18.8 | 17.8 | 40.0 | |
| New Mexico | 2.0 | -3.9 | 2.9 | -1.2 | |
| Oregon | 7.6 | -4.3 | 3.7 | -0.8 | |
| Utah | -2.9 | 20.6 | 21.9 | 47.1 | |
| Washington | 7.4 | -5.0 | 1.0 | -4.0 | |
| Wyoming | -12.3 | -12.4 | 6.8 | -6.4 | |
| # Rounds to zero. |
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1998–99 through 2004–05; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2004. (This table was prepared December 2006.) |
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