Skip Navigation
small NCES header image
Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 9.  Actual and projected percentage changes in 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1998 through fall 2016
 
Region and state  Actual 1998–2004   Projected
2004-2010 2010-2016 2004-2016
United States  10.8 0.7 4.5 5.2
 
Northeast  11.0 -3.3 -1.1 -4.3
Connecticut  19.2 -3.6 -0.7 -4.3
Maine  4.9 -13.9 0.7 -13.3
Massachusetts  13.9 -6.1 -0.6 -6.7
New Hampshire  14.9 -7.5 -0.7 -8.2
New Jersey  25.5 3.1 2.1 5.2
New York  5.2 -3.3 -2.5 -5.7
Pennsylvania  8.0 -3.6 -1.2 -4.7
Rhode Island  16.9 -6.9 -8.7 -15.0
Vermont  1.7 -16.3 -3.4 -19.1
 
Midwest  5.7 -2.6 1.4 -1.2
Illinois  9.6 4.6 -2.7 1.8
Indiana  3.3 4.1 2.9 7.1
Iowa  -4.6 -2.8 8.4 5.4
Kansas  2.1 -6.0 6.3 -0.1
Michigan  13.6 -4.3 -1.2 -5.4
Minnesota  3.8 -5.0 5.1 -0.1
Missouri  5.4 -3.0 4.7 1.5
Nebraska  -0.5 -3.4 8.4 4.8
North Dakota  -12.1 -12.6 -8.9 -20.3
Ohio  5.9 -4.4 0.5 -3.9
South Dakota  -6.5 -11.8 1.8 -10.2
Wisconsin  2.9 -10.8 0.9 -9.9
 
South  11.5 3.0 10.3 13.6
Alabama  1.3 -2.1 2.7 0.5
Arkansas  1.4 -0.9 8.9 8.0
Delaware  6.6 6.7 7.0 14.2
District of Columbia  29.2 -0.2 -21.7 -21.9
Florida  23.3 5.3 12.2 18.2
Georgia  17.0 7.4 16.9 25.5
Kentucky  -1.2 -0.7 7.1 6.4
Louisiana  -9.4 -5.4 3.1 -2.4
Maryland  14.0 -2.2 -0.2 -2.4
Mississippi  -1.9 -0.5 3.5 3.0
North Carolina  19.8 5.2 12.0 17.8
Oklahoma  -2.2 -2.7 # 3.8
South Carolina  6.8 0.3 6.1 6.4
Tennessee  12.2 -0.8 9.1 8.2
Texas  13.4 6.6 15.2 22.8
Virginia  18.2 2.9 6.6 9.7
West Virginia  -9.9 -3.7 3.6 -0.2
 
West  14.8 3.4 2.7 6.2
Alaska  6.8 -9.8 4.0 -6.1
Arizona  42.4 16.1 10.1 27.8
California  16.8 2.7 -2.9 -0.3
Colorado  14.0 1.8 10.8 12.8
Hawaii  1.9 -4.2 5.5 1.2
Idaho  2.3 4.9 17.4 23.1
Montana  -4.8 -11.3 4.2 -7.6
Nevada  36.1 18.8 17.8 40.0
New Mexico  2.0 -3.9 2.9 -1.2
Oregon  7.6 -4.3 3.7 -0.8
Utah  -2.9 20.6 21.9 47.1
Washington  7.4 -5.0 1.0 -4.0
Wyoming  -12.3   -12.4 6.8 -6.4
# Rounds to zero.
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1998–99 through 2004–05; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2004. (This table was prepared December 2006.)
Would you like to help us improve our products and website by taking a short survey?

YES, I would like to take the survey

or

No Thanks

The survey consists of a few short questions and takes less than one minute to complete.