| Table 5. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1998 through fall 2016 |
|---|
| Projected | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1998–2004 | 2004–2010 | 2010–2016 | 2004–2016 | |
| United States | 4.8 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 9.2 | |
| Northeast | 1.5 | -2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | |
| Connecticut | 6.0 | -2.3 | 0.1 | -2.3 | |
| Maine | -5.8 | -5.4 | 3.0 | -2.5 | |
| Massachusetts | 1.4 | -2.4 | 0.3 | -2.1 | |
| New Hampshire | 1.0 | -2.8 | 4.9 | 2.0 | |
| New Jersey | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 4.4 | |
| New York | -1.4 | -2.8 | # | -2.8 | |
| Pennsylvania | 0.6 | -2.4 | 1.5 | -0.9 | |
| Rhode Island | 1.1 | -6.4 | -0.7 | -7.0 | |
| Vermont | -6.4 | -8.6 | 2.4 | -6.4 | |
| Midwest | 0.5 | -0.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 | |
| Illinois | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | |
| Indiana | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3.7 | |
| Iowa | -4.0 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 8.3 | |
| Kansas | -0.7 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 6.0 | |
| Michigan | 1.8 | -3.1 | 0.8 | -2.3 | |
| Minnesota | -2.1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 9.1 | |
| Missouri | -0.9 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 6.3 | |
| Nebraska | -1.8 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 10.3 | |
| North Dakota | -12.5 | -8.3 | -1.1 | -9.3 | |
| Ohio | -0.1 | -1.7 | 1.0 | -0.7 | |
| South Dakota | -7.3 | -2.9 | 4.3 | 1.2 | |
| Wisconsin | -1.7 | -3.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 | |
| South | 7.1 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 17.1 | |
| Alabama | -2.4 | # | 0.9 | 0.9 | |
| Arkansas | 2.4 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 10.7 | |
| Delaware | 5.1 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 14.0 | |
| District of Columbia | 6.7 | -5.3 | 1.8 | -3.6 | |
| Florida | 12.9 | 9.4 | 12.3 | 22.9 | |
| Georgia | 10.9 | 11.9 | 11.5 | 24.7 | |
| Kentucky | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 6.5 | |
| Louisiana | -5.8 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 4.3 | |
| Maryland | 2.8 | -0.3 | 6.4 | 6.1 | |
| Mississippi | -1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.2 | |
| North Carolina | 10.4 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 18.3 | |
| Oklahoma | 0.2 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 8.2 | |
| South Carolina | 5.9 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 6.9 | |
| Tennessee | 3.9 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 12.3 | |
| Texas | 11.7 | 12.5 | 13.8 | 28.1 | |
| Virginia | 7.2 | 4.9 | 7.7 | 12.9 | |
| West Virginia | -5.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 | |
| West | 8.2 | 3.4 | 7.1 | 10.7 | |
| Alaska | -1.8 | -1.3 | 11.5 | 10.0 | |
| Arizona | 23.0 | 12.3 | 14.0 | 28.1 | |
| California | 8.7 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 5.2 | |
| Colorado | 9.6 | 6.6 | 8.2 | 15.3 | |
| Hawaii | -2.6 | 5.4 | 10.9 | 16.9 | |
| Idaho | 4.6 | 11.2 | 12.9 | 25.6 | |
| Montana | -8.3 | -1.7 | 7.3 | 5.5 | |
| Nevada | 28.6 | 17.2 | 16.5 | 36.6 | |
| New Mexico | -0.8 | # | 5.4 | 5.4 | |
| Oregon | 1.8 | 0.3 | 6.9 | 7.2 | |
| Utah | 4.7 | 19.2 | 11.0 | 32.4 | |
| Washington | 2.2 | -1.7 | 5.1 | 3.3 | |
| Wyoming | -11.0 | # | 5.8 | 5.7 | |
| # Rounds to zero. |
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1998–99 through 2004–05; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2004. (This table was prepared December 2006.) |
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