Skip Navigation
small NCES header image
Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 5.  Actual and projected percentage changes in PK–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1998 through fall 2016
 
      Projected
Region and state  Actual 1998–2004   2004–2010 2010–2016 2004–2016
United States 4.8 3.1 6.0 9.2
 
Northeast 1.5 -2.0 1.0 -1.0
Connecticut 6.0 -2.3 0.1 -2.3
Maine -5.8 -5.4 3.0 -2.5
Massachusetts 1.4 -2.4 0.3 -2.1
New Hampshire 1.0 -2.8 4.9 2.0
New Jersey 9.8 2.1 2.3 4.4
New York -1.4 -2.8 # -2.8
Pennsylvania 0.6 -2.4 1.5 -0.9
Rhode Island 1.1 -6.4 -0.7 -7.0
Vermont -6.4 -8.6 2.4 -6.4
 
Midwest 0.5 -0.2 2.6 2.4
Illinois 4.3 1.3 0.8 2.0
Indiana 3.3 2.2 1.5 3.7
Iowa -4.0 3.1 5.0 8.3
Kansas -0.7 0.9 5.0 6.0
Michigan 1.8 -3.1 0.8 -2.3
Minnesota -2.1 1.5 7.5 9.1
Missouri -0.9 1.3 4.9 6.3
Nebraska -1.8 3.8 6.3 10.3
North Dakota -12.5 -8.3 -1.1 -9.3
Ohio -0.1 -1.7 1.0 -0.7
South Dakota -7.3 -2.9 4.3 1.2
Wisconsin -1.7 -3.6 4.2 0.5
 
South 7.1 7.3 9.2 17.1
Alabama -2.4 # 0.9 0.9
Arkansas 2.4 4.8 5.6 10.7
Delaware 5.1 6.2 7.4 14.0
District of Columbia 6.7 -5.3 1.8 -3.6
Florida 12.9 9.4 12.3 22.9
Georgia 10.9 11.9 11.5 24.7
Kentucky 2.9 3.5 2.9 6.5
Louisiana -5.8 0.9 3.4 4.3
Maryland 2.8 -0.3 6.4 6.1
Mississippi -1.4 1.7 1.5 3.2
North Carolina 10.4 8.2 9.4 18.3
Oklahoma 0.2 2.9 5.1 8.2
South Carolina 5.9 2.5 4.2 6.9
Tennessee 3.9 4.7 7.3 12.3
Texas 11.7 12.5 13.8 28.1
Virginia 7.2 4.9 7.7 12.9
West Virginia -5.8 0.8 0.6 1.3
 
West 8.2 3.4 7.1 10.7
Alaska -1.8 -1.3 11.5 10.0
Arizona 23.0 12.3 14.0 28.1
California 8.7 0.5 4.6 5.2
Colorado 9.6 6.6 8.2 15.3
Hawaii -2.6 5.4 10.9 16.9
Idaho 4.6 11.2 12.9 25.6
Montana -8.3 -1.7 7.3 5.5
Nevada 28.6 17.2 16.5 36.6
New Mexico -0.8 # 5.4 5.4
Oregon 1.8 0.3 6.9 7.2
Utah 4.7 19.2 11.0 32.4
Washington 2.2 -1.7 5.1 3.3
Wyoming -11.0   # 5.8 5.7
# Rounds to zero.
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1998–99 through 2004–05; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2004. (This table was prepared December 2006.)
Would you like to help us improve our products and website by taking a short survey?

YES, I would like to take the survey

or

No Thanks

The survey consists of a few short questions and takes less than one minute to complete.