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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 3.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by grade: Fall 1991 through fall 2016

[In thousands]
    Grade
                                Elemen-
tary unclassi-
fied
Secon-
dary unclassi-
fied
Year  Total PK K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Actual 
1991  42,047 375 3,311 3,556 3,360 3,334 3,315 3,268 3,239 3,181 3,020 3,313 2,915 2,645 2,392 545 275
1992  42,823 505 3,313 3,542 3,431 3,361 3,342 3,325 3,303 3,299 3,129 3,352 3,027 2,656 2,431 539 269
1993  43,465 545 3,377 3,529 3,429 3,437 3,361 3,350 3,356 3,355 3,249 3,487 3,050 2,751 2,424 515 248
1994  44,111 603 3,444 3,593 3,440 3,439 3,426 3,372 3,381 3,404 3,302 3,604 3,131 2,748 2,488 494 242
1995  44,840 637 3,536 3,671 3,507 3,445 3,431 3,438 3,395 3,422 3,356 3,704 3,237 2,826 2,487 502 245
1996  45,611 670 3,532 3,770 3,600 3,524 3,454 3,453 3,494 3,464 3,403 3,801 3,323 2,930 2,586 401 206
1997  46,127 695 3,503 3,755 3,689 3,597 3,507 3,458 3,492 3,520 3,415 3,819 3,376 2,972 2,673 442 214
1998  46,539 729 3,443 3,727 3,681 3,696 3,592 3,520 3,497 3,530 3,480 3,856 3,382 3,021 2,722 451 212
1999  46,857 751 3,397 3,684 3,656 3,691 3,686 3,604 3,564 3,541 3,497 3,935 3,415 3,034 2,782 417 203
2000  47,204 776 3,382 3,636 3,634 3,676 3,711 3,707 3,663 3,629 3,538 3,963 3,491 3,083 2,803 336 175
2001  47,672 865 3,379 3,614 3,593 3,653 3,695 3,727 3,769 3,720 3,616 4,012 3,528 3,174 2,863 306 157
2002  48,183 915 3,434 3,594 3,565 3,623 3,669 3,711 3,788 3,821 3,709 4,105 3,584 3,229 2,990 287 160
2003  48,540 950 3,503 3,613 3,544 3,611 3,619 3,685 3,772 3,841 3,809 4,190 3,675 3,277 3,046 256 149
2004  48,795 990 3,544 3,663 3,560 3,580 3,612 3,635 3,735 3,818 3,825 4,281 3,750 3,369 3,094 216 121
 
Projected 
2005  49,028 1,005 3,596 3,666 3,610 3,593 3,584 3,627 3,690 3,786 3,803 4,316 3,826 3,425 3,164 214 122
2006  49,370 1,050 3,758 3,721 3,613 3,644 3,597 3,600 3,682 3,740 3,771 4,292 3,857 3,493 3,216 213 124
2007  49,610 1,052 3,763 3,881 3,667 3,647 3,647 3,612 3,654 3,732 3,725 4,255 3,835 3,522 3,281 213 125
2008  49,812 1,059 3,788 3,886 3,825 3,701 3,650 3,663 3,667 3,703 3,717 4,203 3,802 3,502 3,307 214 124
2009  50,028 1,067 3,817 3,912 3,830 3,861 3,705 3,666 3,718 3,716 3,688 4,194 3,756 3,472 3,289 215 123
2010  50,303 1,076 3,850 3,941 3,855 3,866 3,865 3,721 3,721 3,769 3,701 4,162 3,748 3,430 3,261 216 121
2011  50,653 1,086 3,886 3,975 3,884 3,891 3,870 3,882 3,777 3,772 3,753 4,177 3,720 3,422 3,221 218 119
2012  51,093 1,096 3,923 4,012 3,918 3,920 3,895 3,887 3,940 3,828 3,756 4,236 3,733 3,396 3,214 221 117
2013  51,579 1,108 3,963 4,051 3,954 3,954 3,924 3,912 3,945 3,993 3,813 4,239 3,785 3,408 3,190 224 117
2014  52,135 1,119 4,004 4,092 3,992 3,991 3,958 3,941 3,971 3,998 3,977 4,303 3,788 3,456 3,201 226 116
2015  52,733 1,130 4,044 4,135 4,033 4,029 3,995 3,976 4,001 4,024 3,982 4,488 3,845 3,459 3,246 228 117
2016  53,300 1,141 4,081 4,176 4,075 4,071 4,033 4,013 4,036 4,055 4,008 4,494 4,011 3,511 3,248 230 119
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics: Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1991–1992 through 2004–2005; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2004. (This table was prepared November 2006.)
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