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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007


Table 1.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in grades PK–12, PK–8, and 9–12 in elementary and secondary schools, by control of school: Fall 1991 through fall 2016

[In thousands]
Year Total   Public    Private 
PK–121 PK–81  9–12    PK–12  PK–8  9–12    PK–121  PK–81  9–12 
Actual 
1991  47,728 35,024 12,704 42,047 30,506 11,541 5,681 4,518 1,163
19922 48,500 35,617 12,883 42,823 31,088 11,735 5,677 4,528 1,148
1993  49,133 36,040 13,093 43,465 31,504 11,961 5,668 4,536 1,132
19942 49,898 36,522 13,376 44,111 31,898 12,213 5,787 4,624 1,162
1995  50,759 37,062 13,697 44,840 32,341 12,500 5,918 4,721 1,197
19962 51,544 37,484 14,060 45,611 32,764 12,847 5,933 4,720 1,213
1997  52,071 37,799 14,272 46,127 33,073 13,054 5,944 4,726 1,218
19982 52,526 38,093 14,433 46,539 33,346 13,193 5,988 4,748 1,240
1999  52,875 38,253 14,622 46,857 33,488 13,369 6,018 4,765 1,254
20002 53,373 38,566 14,807 47,204 33,688 13,515 6,169 4,878 1,292
2001  53,992 38,931 15,061 47,672 33,938 13,734 6,320 4,993 1,326
20022 54,403 39,002 15,402 48,183 34,116 14,067 6,220 4,886 1,334
2003  54,639 38,964 15,676 48,540 34,202 14,338 6,099 4,761 1,338
20042  54,928 38,951 15,977 48,795 34,178 14,617 6,133 4,773 1,360
 
Projected 
2005  55,139 38,910 16,229 49,028 34,174 14,853 6,111 4,736 1,376
2006  55,524 39,166 16,358 49,370 34,387 14,983 6,155 4,779 1,375
2007  55,762 39,376 16,386 49,610 34,592 15,018 6,152 4,784 1,368
2008  55,966 39,678 16,287 49,812 34,873 14,939 6,154 4,805 1,348
2009  56,186 40,028 16,158 50,028 35,195 14,834 6,158 4,834 1,324
2010  56,480 40,454 16,025 50,303 35,581 14,722 6,177 4,873 1,304
2011  56,857 40,915 15,943 50,653 35,994 14,659 6,204 4,921 1,284
2012  57,338 41,372 15,966 51,093 36,397 14,696 6,245 4,975 1,270
2013  57,872 41,873 16,000 51,579 36,841 14,739 6,293 5,032 1,261
2014  58,486 42,360 16,126 52,135 37,271 14,864 6,350 5,088 1,262
2015  59,147 42,711 16,436 52,733 37,578 15,155 6,414 5,133 1,281
2016  59,780 43,097 16,684   53,300 37,917 15,382   6,481 5,179 1,301
1 Includes private nursery and prekindergarten enrollment in schools that offer kindergarten or higher grades.
2 Private school numbers are estimated based on data from the Private School Universe Survey.
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1991–92 through 2004–05; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years 1991–92 through 2003–04; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2004. (This table was prepared November 2006.)
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