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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007

Section 3. High School Graduates: National

Figure F. Actual and projected numbers for high school graduates, total and by control of school: Selected years, 1991–92 to 2016–17

Figure F. Actual and projected numbers for high school graduates, total and by control of school: Selected years, 1991–92 to 2016–17

SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, Common Core of Data surveys, various years; Private School Universe Survey, various years; and National High School Graduates Model. (See reference table 24.)

Total number of high school graduates

The total number of high school graduates (figure F; reference figure 22 and table 24)

  • increased 24 percent between 1991–92 and 2003–04, a period of 12 years; and
  • is projected to increase an additional 5 percent between 2003–04 and 2016–17, a period of 13 years.

Public high school graduates

The number of public high school graduates

  • increased 25 percent between 1991–92 and 2003–04; and
  • is projected to increase an additional 6 percent between 2003–04 and 2016–17.

Private high school graduates

The number of private high school graduates

  • increased 19 percent between 1991–92 and 2003–04; and
  • is projected to decrease 4 percent between 2003–04 and 2016–17.

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