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Projections of Education Statistics to 2016
NCES 2008-060
December 2007

Section 2. Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions: Enrollment by Selected Characteristics and Control of Institution

Figure D. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by selected characteristics: Selected years, 1991–2016

Figure D. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by selected characteristics: Selected years, 1991–2016

SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), "Fall Enrollment Survey," various years; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model. (See reference tables 10 and 22.)

Enrollment by age of student

Between 2005 and 2016, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure D; reference figures 11–13 and tables 11–13) is projected to increase

  • 15 percent for students who are 18 to 24 years old; and
  • 7 percent for students who are 35 years old and over.

Enrollment by sex of student

Between 2005 and 2016, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure D; reference figure 14 and tables 10–21) is projected to increase

  • 10 percent for men; and
  • 22 percent for women.

Enrollment by attendance status

Between 2005 and 2016, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure D; reference figure 15 and tables 10–21) is projected to increase

  • 23 percent for full-time students; and
  • 6 percent for part-time students.

Enrollment by level

Between 2005 and 2016, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure D; reference figures 18 and 19 and tables 19–21) is projected to increase

  • 16 percent for undergraduate students;
  • 21 percent for graduate students; and
  • 31 percent for first-professional students (see definition of first-professional).

Enrollment by race/ethnicity

Between 2005 and 2016, enrollment (figure D, reference figure 20 and table 22) is projected to increase

  • 8 percent for students who are White;
  • 29 percent for students who are Black;
  • 45 percent for students who are Hispanic;
  • 32 percent for students who are Asian or Pacific Islanders;
  • 34 percent for students who are American Indian or Alaska Native; and
  • 15 percent for students who are nonresident aliens.

Figure E. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by control of institution: Selected years, 1991–2016

Figure E. Actual and middle alternative projected numbers for total enrollment in degree-granting institutions, by control of institution: Selected years, 1991–2016

NOTE: Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic origin. The racial/ethnic backgrounds of nonresident aliens are not known.
SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), "Fall Enrollment Survey," various years; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model. (See reference table 10.)

Enrollment in public and private institutions

Between 2005 and 2016, in the middle alternative projections, enrollment (figure E; reference figure 16 and tables 10 and 15–22) is projected to increase

  • 17 percent in public institutions; and
  • 18 percent in private institutions.


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