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| Table 26. Actual and projected percentage changes in public high school graduates, by region and state: Selected years, 1997–98 through 2015–16 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region and state |
Actual 1997–98 to 2002–03 |
Projected | ||
| 2002–03 to 2009–10 | 2009–10 to 2015–16 | 2002–03 to 2015–16 | ||
| United States | 11.5 | 10.2 | -4.3 | 5.5 |
| Northeast | 10.9 | 10.1 | -10.2 | -1.1 |
| Connecticut | 20.7 | 12.7 | -8.5 | 3.1 |
| Maine | 6.4 | 0.9 | -14.5 | -13.8 |
| Massachusetts | 11.0 | 8.4 | -10.1 | -2.6 |
| New Hampshire | 21.8 | 3.4 | -12.4 | -9.5 |
| New Jersey | 25.0 | 22.8 | -3.9 | 18.0 |
| New York | 3.8 | 7.9 | -13.4 | -6.5 |
| Pennsylvania | 8.1 | 6.9 | -11.0 | -4.8 |
| Rhode Island | 15.4 | 10.8 | -8.0 | 1.8 |
| Vermont | 7.7 | -4.9 | -17.9 | -22.0 |
| Midwest | 5.1 | 4.6 | -7.7 | -3.5 |
| Illinois | 2.5 | 11.1 | -5.6 | 4.9 |
| Indiana | -1.7 | 9.0 | -1.3 | 7.6 |
| Iowa | 2.0 | -1.3 | -9.6 | -10.8 |
| Kansas | 7.6 | -2.7 | -6.9 | -9.5 |
| Michigan | 8.2 | 8.9 | -9.4 | -1.3 |
| Minnesota | 8.8 | -3.3 | -8.8 | -11.7 |
| Missouri | 9.3 | 6.9 | -9.9 | -3.6 |
| Nebraska | 2.2 | -1.5 | -6.8 | -8.2 |
| North Dakota | # | -13.6 | -17.1 | -28.4 |
| Ohio | 4.1 | 5.3 | -8.6 | -3.8 |
| South Dakota | -1.5 | -9.9 | -12.5 | -21.1 |
| Wisconsin | 9.8 | -1.6 | -9.0 | -10.4 |
| South | 13.3 | 10.5 | -0.8 | 9.6 |
| Alabama | -3.5 | 3.8 | -7.4 | -3.9 |
| Arkansas | 2.6 | 2.4 | -2.5 | -0.2 |
| Delaware | 5.9 | 9.7 | -4.3 | 5.0 |
| District of Columbia | -1.9 | 25.1 | -30.2 | -12.7 |
| Florida | 29.4 | 16.6 | 3.8 | 21.1 |
| Georgia | 14.3 | 17.6 | 3.8 | 20.4 |
| Kentucky | 1.0 | 2.3 | -5.2 | -3.0 |
| Louisiana | -1.1 | -1.4 | -9.5 | -10.8 |
| Maryland | 16.4 | 12.4 | -8.7 | 2.7 |
| Mississippi | -2.8 | 3.7 | -8.5 | -5.1 |
| North Carolina | 17.5 | 17.0 | 1.2 | 18.4 |
| Oklahoma | 4.2 | 0.2 | -6.6 | -6.4 |
| South Carolina | 3.5 | 10.3 | -3.1 | 6.9 |
| Tennessee | 10.7 | 9.6 | -5.7 | 3.4 |
| Texas | 20.8 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
| Virginia | 16.3 | 12.4 | -3.0 | 9.0 |
| West Virginia | -14.3 | -1.3 | -10.8 | -12.0 |
| West | 17.0 | 15.6 | -1.6 | 13.8 |
| Alaska | 12.9 | 4.0 | -11.2 | -7.6 |
| Arizona | 37.5 | 52.0 | 12.8 | 71.5 |
| California | 20.6 | 16.1 | -4.5 | 10.9 |
| Colorado | 18.4 | 11.3 | 1.4 | 12.9 |
| Hawaii | 3.5 | 4.5 | -11.0 | -7.0 |
| Idaho | 2.2 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 8.7 |
| Montana | # | -7.1 | -15.8 | -21.7 |
| Nevada | 25.5 | 45.5 | 15.1 | 67.5 |
| New Mexico | 2.4 | 7.8 | -7.7 | -0.4 |
| Oregon | 17.4 | -0.3 | -3.9 | -4.3 |
| Utah | -6.5 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 12.2 |
| Washington | 12.6 | 5.4 | -5.6 | -0.4 |
| Wyoming | -9.1 | -10.4 | -13.4 | -22.3 |
| # Rounds to zero. | ||||
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A. | ||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, The Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1998–99 and 2003–04; and State Public High School Graduates Model, 1980–81 through 2002–03. (This table was prepared November 2005.) | ||||
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