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Projections of Education Statistics to 2015

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Table 9. Actual and projected percentage changes in 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1997 through fall 2015
 
[In thousands]
Region and state Actual 1997–2003 Projected
2003–2009 2009–2015 2003–2015
United States9.8 4.0 -0.9 3.1
 
Northeast9.9 0.5 -6.8 -6.4
Connecticut20.3 2.1 -4.8 -2.9
Maine6.0 -7.6 -5.8 -12.9
Massachusetts 14.2 -1.9 -4.6 -6.4
New Hampshire16.0 -5.1 -6.2 -11.0
New Jersey 22.3 7.7 -2.9 4.6
New York 4.2 -0.5 -9.5 -9.9
Pennsylvania6.7 -0.1 -7.3 -7.5
Rhode Island15.9 1.0 -7.5 -6.5
Vermont0.2 -11.8 -9.9 -20.5
 
Midwest 5.0 0.5 -2.7 -2.2
Illinois8.6 5.6 -4.5 0.9
Indiana0.1 6.1 0.7 6.8
Iowa-5.1 -0.6 0.1 -0.5
Kansas 4.8 -4.4 -0.4 -4.7
Michigan 13.3 1.7 -4.6 -3.0
Minnesota4.9 -5.5 -0.4 -5.9
Missouri 5.0 0.5 -1.6 -1.1
Nebraska-1.0 -2.3 0.8 -1.5
North Dakota-10.1 -12.3 -11.2 -22.2
Ohio3.5 -0.6 -4.2 -4.7
South Dakota -11.2 -9.5 -2.1 -11.4
Wisconsin4.4 -3.9 -1.8 -5.6
 
South10.1 5.2 3.7 9.1
Alabama-1.1 1.0 -1.3 -0.3
Arkansas -0.9 0.5 3.8 4.3
Delaware4.8 8.9 2.3 11.3
District of Columbia 8.2 8.8 -30.7 -24.6
Florida 23.1 7.2 3.8 11.2
Georgia14.8 8.3 8.4 17.4
Kentucky-4.8 0.9 2.0 2.9
Louisiana -10.3 -0.2 -3.8 -4.0
Maryland15.1 1.9 -2.6 -0.8
Mississippi-5.1 2.0 -1.4 0.6
North Carolina17.2 6.3 6.4 13.1
Oklahoma-1.7 -3.0 # -3.0
South Carolina6.4 3.0 1.7 4.8
Tennessee9.1 4.0 2.2 6.2
Texas13.2 8.0 8.2 16.9
Virginia16.9 7.1 1.0 8.1
West Virginia-12.7 -2.8 -3.8 -6.5
 
West14.5 8.3 -1.8 6.4
Alaska 10.3 -1.7 -4.3 -6.0
Arizona41.1 20.9 11.1 34.4
California16.5 10.1 -7.1 2.3
Colorado 14.9 4.0 5.7 9.9
Hawaii0.1 -1.6 -3.1 -4.7
Idaho1.5 4.0 9.6 14.1
Montana-4.3 -9.6 -3.3 -12.6
Nevada 34.5 31.6 12.1 47.5
New Mexico 1.0 -0.8 -4.6 -5.4
Oregon8.1 -3.2 0.2 -3.1
Utah -4.5 3.9 12.2 16.6
Washington8.5 0.4 -2.8 -2.5
Wyoming -12.1 -11.3 -2.7 -13.7
# Rounds to zero.
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, The NCES Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1997–98 through 2003–04; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2003. (This table was prepared November 2005.)
 
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