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| Table 7. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK-8 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1997 through fall 2015 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1997–2003 | Projected | ||
| 2003–2009 | 2009–2015 | 2003–2015 | ||
| United States | 3.4 | 0.4 | 6.1 | 6.5 |
| Northeast | -0.4 | -5.2 | 0.9 | -4.4 |
| Connecticut | 3.4 | -4.8 | -1.5 | -6.3 |
| Maine | -9.2 | -5.4 | 2.1 | -3.4 |
| Massachusetts | -0.6 | -3.5 | 0.4 | -3.1 |
| New Hampshire | -2.2 | -5.4 | 5.6 | -0.1 |
| New Jersey | 6.2 | -0.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| New York | -1.6 | -7.3 | 0.3 | -7.0 |
| Pennsylvania | -2.4 | -5.9 | 1.2 | -4.8 |
| Rhode Island | -0.5 | -5.9 | 1.5 | -4.5 |
| Vermont | -9.4 | -10.5 | 1.6 | -9.0 |
| Midwest | -0.7 | -2.2 | 2.4 | 0.1 |
| Illinois | 3.8 | -2.4 | 2.5 | # |
| Indiana | 3.5 | # | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Iowa | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Kansas | -1.5 | -1.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| Michigan | -0.6 | -4.9 | 0.5 | -4.5 |
| Minnesota | -4.0 | -0.2 | 7.2 | 7.0 |
| Missouri | -2.7 | -0.4 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Nebraska | -3.1 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 6.6 |
| North Dakota | -15.5 | -9.0 | 1.4 | -7.7 |
| Ohio | -1.6 | -3.6 | 0.4 | -3.2 |
| South Dakota | -12.2 | -1.2 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| Wisconsin | -2.3 | -2.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| South | 5.4 | 4.7 | 9.0 | 14.1 |
| Alabama | -2.9 | -0.9 | 0.2 | -0.7 |
| Arkansas | -0.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 7.3 |
| Delaware | 5.2 | 3.3 | 7.3 | 10.8 |
| District of Columbia | -0.8 | -14.4 | 12.4 | -3.7 |
| Florida | 9.0 | 5.9 | 12.6 | 19.2 |
| Georgia | 9.2 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 19.6 |
| Kentucky | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Louisiana | -4.8 | -1.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| Maryland | 0.7 | -0.6 | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| Mississippi | -1.1 | -0.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| North Carolina | 7.5 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 15.2 |
| Oklahoma | 1.2 | 0.2 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| South Carolina | 5.9 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| Tennessee | 3.4 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 8.8 |
| Texas | 10.6 | 9.7 | 13.7 | 24.8 |
| Virginia | 3.7 | 2.5 | 7.9 | 10.7 |
| West Virginia | -3.9 | -2.5 | -0.2 | -2.7 |
| West | 7.1 | 0.2 | 8.2 | 8.3 |
| Alaska | -2.0 | -2.9 | 12.6 | 9.4 |
| Arizona | 18.2 | 12.5 | 16.2 | 30.7 |
| California | 8.2 | -3.4 | 6.8 | 3.1 |
| Colorado | 8.5 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 13.8 |
| Hawaii | -4.6 | 2.2 | 14.3 | 16.8 |
| Idaho | 3.9 | 8.4 | 10.3 | 19.6 |
| Montana | -10.5 | -2.6 | 7.1 | 4.3 |
| Nevada | 28.3 | 13.5 | 15.7 | 31.2 |
| New Mexico | -4.1 | -3.5 | 5.6 | 1.9 |
| Oregon | -0.8 | -0.8 | 6.9 | 6.1 |
| Utah | 6.1 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 17.8 |
| Washington | 0.7 | -3.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Wyoming | -8.9 | -3.6 | 4.6 | 0.8 |
| # Rounds to zero. | ||||
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A. | ||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, The Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1997–98 through 2003–04; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2003. (This table was prepared November 2005.) | ||||
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