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| Table 5. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK-12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1997 through fall 2015 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1997–2003 | Projected | ||
| 2003–2009 | 2009–2015 | 2003–2015 | ||
| United States | 5.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Northeast | 2.6 | -3.5 | -1.6 | -5.0 |
| Connecticut | 7.9 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -5.3 |
| Maine | -4.9 | -6.0 | -0.3 | -6.3 |
| Massachusetts | 3.3 | -3.0 | -1.1 | -4.1 |
| New Hampshire | 2.9 | -5.3 | 1.8 | -3.6 |
| New Jersey | 10.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| New York | 0.1 | -5.2 | -2.9 | -7.9 |
| Pennsylvania | 0.3 | -4.1 | -1.7 | -5.7 |
| Rhode Island | 3.9 | -3.8 | -1.3 | -5.1 |
| Vermont | -6.5 | -10.9 | -2.1 | -12.8 |
| Midwest | 1.0 | -1.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 |
| Illinois | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Indiana | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.3 |
| Iowa | -4.0 | -0.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Kansas | 0.4 | -2.2 | 2.3 | # |
| Michigan | 3.2 | -2.9 | -1.1 | -4.0 |
| Minnesota | -1.3 | -1.9 | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Missouri | -0.5 | -0.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Nebraska | -2.4 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| North Dakota | -13.8 | -10.2 | -2.7 | -12.6 |
| Ohio | -0.1 | -2.7 | -1.0 | -3.6 |
| South Dakota | -11.9 | -3.8 | 2.6 | -1.3 |
| Wisconsin | -0.2 | -2.6 | 2.3 | -0.4 |
| South | 6.7 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 12.7 |
| Alabama | -2.4 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| Arkansas | -0.4 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 6.4 |
| Delaware | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 11.0 |
| District of Columbia | 1.2 | -8.8 | 0.2 | -8.7 |
| Florida | 12.8 | 6.2 | 10.0 | 16.9 |
| Georgia | 10.7 | 8.4 | 9.7 | 19.0 |
| Kentucky | -0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Louisiana | -6.3 | -0.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Maryland | 4.6 | 0.1 | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Mississippi | -2.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| North Carolina | 10.0 | 6.1 | 8.1 | 14.7 |
| Oklahoma | 0.4 | -0.7 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| South Carolina | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 4.9 |
| Tennessee | 4.9 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 8.1 |
| Texas | 11.3 | 9.3 | 12.2 | 22.6 |
| Virginia | 7.3 | 3.9 | 5.8 | 9.9 |
| West Virginia | -6.7 | -2.6 | -1.2 | -3.8 |
| West | 9.2 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 7.8 |
| Alaska | 1.4 | -2.5 | 7.5 | 4.8 |
| Arizona | 24.3 | 15.1 | 14.6 | 31.8 |
| California | 10.5 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Colorado | 10.3 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 12.7 |
| Hawaii | -3.3 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| Idaho | 3.2 | 7.1 | 10.1 | 17.9 |
| Montana | -8.6 | -4.9 | 3.9 | -1.2 |
| Nevada | 29.9 | 18.4 | 14.6 | 35.7 |
| New Mexico | -2.6 | -2.7 | 2.5 | -0.3 |
| Oregon | 1.8 | -1.5 | 4.8 | 3.2 |
| Utah | 2.7 | 8.1 | 8.7 | 17.4 |
| Washington | 3.0 | -2.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| Wyoming | -9.9 | -6.1 | 2.4 | -3.8 |
| # Rounds to zero. | ||||
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A. | ||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, The Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," selected years, 1997–98 through 2003–04; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2003. (This table was prepared November 2005.) | ||||
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