Section 3. High School Graduates: State and Regional (Public School Data)

Between 2002–03 and 2013–14, the number of public high school graduates is expected to increase in 20 states and decrease in 30 states and the District of Columbia (table C; reference figure 23 and tables 25 and 26). In the regions, number of public high school graduates is expected to increase in the West and South, and decrease in the Northeast and Midwest.

States

The expected 5 percent national increase in public high school graduates between 2002–03 and 2015–16 plays out differently among the states.

• Increases are projected for 20 states with
  • increases of more than 15 percent projected for 7 states;
  • increases between 5 and 15 percent projected for 8 states; and
  • increases of less than 5 percent projected for 5 states.
• Decreases are projected for 30 states and the District of Columbia.
• decreases of 5 percent or more projected for 19 states and the District of Columbia; and
• decreases between 4.99 and 0.1 percent projected for 11 states.

Regions

Between 2002–03 and 2015–16, the number of public high school graduates is projected to

• increase 14 percent in the West;
• increase 10 percent in the South;
• decrease 1 percent in the Northeast; and
• decrease 4 percent in the Midwest.