Section 1. Elementary and Secondary Enrollment: State and Regional (Public School Data)

Between 2003 and 2015, enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools is expected to increase in 32 states and decrease in 18 states and the District of Columbia (tables A and B; reference figures 5–7 and tables 4–9). In the regions, public school enrollment during the same period is expected to increase in the South and West, and decrease in the Northeast and Midwest.

States

The expected 6 percent national increase in public school enrollment between 2003 and 2015 plays out differently for most states.

• Increases are projected for 32 states, with
  • increases of more than 15 percent projected for 7 states;
  • increases between 5 and 15 percent projected for 8 states; and
  • increases of less than 5 percent projected for 17 states.
• Decreases are projected for 18 states and the District of Columbia, with
  • decreases of 5 percent or more projected for 7 states and the District of Columbia; and
  • decreases between 4.99 and 0.1 percent projected for 11 states.

Regions

Between 2003 and 2015, public elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to

• increase 13 percent in the South;
• increase 8 percent in the West;
• decrease 1 percent in the Midwest; and
• decrease 5 percent in the Northeast.