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Projections of Education Statistics to 2014, published September 2005.

Section 4. Degrees Conferred: Introduction

Historical growth in enrollment in degree-granting institutions, with particularly large increases among women, has led to a substantial increase in the number of degrees conferred. Increases in the number of degrees conferred are expected to continue between 2002–03 and 2013–14.

Three alternative sets of projections

Middle, low, and high sets of projections were developed for the total number of degrees conferred at each level—associate’s, bachelor’s, master’s, doctor’s, and first-professional—as well as for the number conferred at each level, by sex of recipient.

About the projections

Projections of degrees by level and sex were based primarily on college-age populations and college enrollment by level and attendance status. Some factors that may affect future numbers of degrees, such as choice of degree and demand for occupations, were not included in the projection models.

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National Center for Education Statistics -
U.S. Department of Education