
Between 2002 and 2014, enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools is expected to increase in 23 states and decrease in 27 states and the District of Columbia (tables A and B; reference figure 5 and tables 4–9). In the regions, public school enrollment during the same period is expected to increase in the South and West, and decrease in the Northeast and Midwest.
The expected 4 percent national increase in public school enrollment between 2002 and 2014 plays out differently for most states.
Between 2002 and 2014, public elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to
| Table A. Projected percent increases in public elementary and secondary school enrollment, by state: 2002 to 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Percent increase | State | Percent increase | |
| Nevada | 28.4 | Hawaii | 5 | |
| Texas | 15.6 | Washington | 4.1 | |
| Utah | 14.9 | New Jersey | 3.5 | |
| Arizona | 14.5 | North Carolina | 3.3 | |
| California | 14.2 | Indiana | 2.5 | |
| Idaho | 13.8 | Virginia | 2.1 | |
| Colorado | 10.9 | Illinois | 1.6 | |
| Florida | 9.9 | Wyoming | 0.9 | |
| Georgia | 8.7 | Oklahoma | 0.3 | |
| Alaska | 7.7 | Kansas | 0.1 | |
| Oregon | 6.7 | Tennessee | 0.1 | |
| New Mexico | 5.7 | |||
| SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES: Common Core of Data surveys and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model. (See reference table 5.) | ||||
| Table B. Projected percent decreases in public elementary and secondary school enrollment, by state: 2002 to 2014. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Percent decrease | State | Percent decrease | |
| Nebraska | -0.2 | Alabama | -4.1 | |
| Arkansas | -0.5 | Ohio | -4.7 | |
| Connecticut | -0.6 | Mississippi | -4.8 | |
| Maryland | -1.0 | Montana | -5.9 | |
| Missouri | -1.6 | New York | -6.0 | |
| Delaware | -2.0 | Iowa | -6.3 | |
| Minnesota | -2.5 | Massachusetts | -6.5 | |
| South Carolina | -2.7 | Kentucky | -6.5 | |
| District of Columbia | -2.8 | New Hampshire | -7.1 | |
| Michigan | -3.2 | Pennsylvania | -7.7 | |
| Louisiana | -3.3 | West Virginia | -9.8 | |
| Rhode Island | -3.6 | North Dakota | -10.2 | |
| South Dakota | -3.6 | Maine | -12.8 | |
| Wisconsin | -3.9 | Vermont | -15.2 | |
| SOURCE: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES: Common Core of Data surveys and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model. (See reference table 5.) | ||||