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Projections of Education Statistics to 2014, Thirty-third Edition, September 2005 - Equations for current-fund expenditures per full-time-equivalent enrollment and educational and general expenditures per full-time-equivalent enrollment in public 4-year institutions and public 2-year institutions

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Table A19. Equations for current-fund expenditures per full-time-equivalent enrollment and educational and general expenditures per full-time-equivalent enrollment in public 4-year institutions and public 2-year institutions
Dependent variable Equation R2 Durbin-Watson statistic1 Error distribution pattern2 Time    period
Current-fund expenditures per student in public 4-year institutionsDPUTCUR4 = 289.74
(4.48)
+ 2.12DDSTREV
(2.33)
-1.68DPUFTE4
(-3.73)
0.537 1.19 AR(0) 1968-69 to
2000-01
-
257DUMMY
(-2.67)
 
Current-fund expenditures per student in public 2-year institutions DPUTCUR2 = 47.94
(1.84)
+ 1.95DDSTREV
(4.7)
- 0.85DPUFTE2
(-5.54)
0.725 1.90 AR(0) 1968-69 to
2000-01
 
Educational and general expenditures per student in public 4-year institutions DPUED4 = 204.97
(2.93)
+ 2.38DDSTREV
(2.42)
- 1.64DPUFTE4 (-3.35) 0.492 1.09 AR(0) 1968-69 to
2000-01
-223DUMMY
(-2.14)
 
Educational and general expenditures per student in public 2-year institutionsDPUED2 = 41.9
(1.51)
+ 1.97DDSTREV
(4.46)
- 0.73DPUFTE2
(-4.44)
0.665 1.64 AR(0) 1968-69 to
2000-01
1For an explanation of the Durbin-Watson statistic, see J. Johnston and J. Dinardo, Econometric Methods, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1996.
2AR(0) indicates that the models was estimated using least squares with no for correcting for autocorrelation. For a general discussion of the problem of autocorrelation, and the method used to forecast when correcting for autocorrelation, see G. Judge, W. Hill, R. Griffiths, H. Lutkepohl, and T. Lee, The Theory and Practice of Econometrics, New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1985, pp. 315-318.
Where:
DPUTCUR4 = Change from the previous year in current-fund expenditures per student in full-time-equivalent (FTE) enrollment in public 4-year institutions in constant 1982--84 dollars
DPUTCUR2 = Change from the previous year in current-fund expenditures per student in FTE enrollment in public 2-year institutions in constant 1982-84 dollars
DPUED4 = Change from the previous year in educational and general expenditures per student in FTE enrollment in public 4-year institutions in constant 1982-84 dollars
DPUED2 = Change from the previous year in educational and general expenditures per student in FTE enrollment in public 2-year institutions in constant 1982-84 dollars
DDSTREV = Change in the 2 years prior to the current year in the sum of personal tax receipts for state and local governments, and total state and local government tax (excluding property taxes) receipts in constant 1982-84 dollars
DPUFTE4 = Change from the previous year in FTE enrollment in public 4-year institutions in thousands of students
DPUFTE2 = Change from the previous year in FTE enrollment in public 2-year institutions in thousands of students
DUMMY = Dummy variable equaling 1 when the inflation rate is greater than 8 percent and 0 otherwise
SOURCE : U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Higher Education Expenditure Models, 1968-69 to 2000-01. (This table was prepared October 2004.)

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