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Projections of Education Statistics to 2014, Thirty-third Edition, September 2005 - Degrees conferred (assumptions)

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Table A16. Degrees conferred (assumptions)
Variables Assumptions Alternative Table
Associate's degrees
 
Men The number of associate's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions to the male population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 26
 
Women The number of associate's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions to the female population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female undergraduate enrollment in 2-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2013-14.
 
Bachelor's degrees
 
Men The number of bachelor's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions to the male population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 27
 
Women The number of bachelor's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions to the female population of 18- to 24-year-olds, weighted over the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female undergraduate enrollment in 4-year institutions. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 27
 
Master's degrees
 
Men The number of master's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male graduate school enrollment to the male population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 28
 
Women The number of master's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female graduate school enrollment to the female population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the the last 2 years (where weights are .67 and .33 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 28
 
Doctor's degrees
 
Men The number of doctor's degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male graduate school enrollment to the male population of 35- to 44-year-olds, weighted over the the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 29
 
Women The number of doctor's degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female graduate school enrollment to the female population of 35- to 44-year-olds, weighted over the the last 4 years (where weights are .4, .3, .2, and .1 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female graduate school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 29
 
First-professional degrees
 
Men The number of first-professional degrees awarded to men is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time male first-professional school enrollment to the male population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 3 years (where weights are .5, .33, and, .17 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time male first-professional school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 30
 
Women The number of first-professional degrees awarded to women is a linear function of the log of the ratio of full-time female first-professional school enrollment to the female population of 25- to 34-year-olds, weighted over the last 3 years (where weights are .5, .33, and, .17 for descending lagged years), plus the similar log ratio for part-time female first-professional school enrollment. This relationship will continue through 2013-14. Middle 30
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Degrees Conferred Model, 1975-76 through 2002-03. (This table was prepared October 2004.)

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