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Projections of Education Statistics to 2014, Thirty-third Edition, September 2005 - Actual and projected percentage changes in PK-8 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1996 to fall 2014

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Table 7. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK-8 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1996 to fall 2014
Region and state Actual 1996-2002 Projected
2002-2008 2008-2014 2002-2014
United States4.2 -1.3 5.9 4.5
 
Northeast1.4 -6.0 1.4 -4.6
Connecticut4.3 -3.1 3.3 0.1
Maine-8.9 -10.6 1.7 -9.1
Massachusetts 1.9 -6.7 0.2 -6.5
New Hampshire-0.2 -7.3 2.5 -5.0
New Jersey 8.4 -1.5 3.2 1.7
New York 0.8 -7.0 1.3 -5.9
Pennsylvania-1.7 -7.4 0.2 -7.2
Rhode Island1.9 -5.8 1.9 -4.1
Vermont-9.5 -12.0 0.5 -11.6
 
Midwest 0.6 -3.8 3.1 -0.8
Illinois5.3 -2.1 3.8 1.6
Indiana3.6 -0.3 2.0 1.8
Iowa-4.6 -5.6 2.5 -3.2
Kansas -1.9 -2.2 6.3 4.0
Michigan 3.4 -5.6 1.1 -4.6
Minnesota-3.6 -3.8 5.9 1.8
Missouri 1.4 -4.4 4.1 -0.6
Nebraska-3.8 -2.2 5.5 3.2
North Dakota-15.9 -8.1 5.4 -3.1
Ohio-1.2 -5.1 1.6 -3.6
South Dakota -11.8 -3.6 5.1 1.3
Wisconsin-2.2 -4.7 3.8 -1.1
 
South5.6 # 5.7 5.7
Alabama-1.2 -4.9 2.3 -2.7
Arkansas -1.7 -1.6 2.1 0.4
Delaware5.4 -4.3 1.1 -3.3
District of Columbia -3.7 -12.5 13.1 -1.1
Florida 9.4 2.3 7.1 9.5
Georgia9.9 2.0 5.9 8.1
Kentucky2.3 -5.9 -0.6 -6.4
Louisiana -6.7 -5.2 4.8 -0.6
Maryland2.3 -4.4 4.3 -0.3
Mississippi-1.0 -4.7 0.6 -4.1
North Carolina8.8 -0.6 3.0 2.3
Oklahoma0.8 -3.2 6.8 3.3
South Carolina7.0 -5.0 1.7 -3.4
Tennessee2.5 -2.8 3.4 0.5
Texas10.0 5.7 10.3 16.6
Virginia4.4 -1.9 3.4 1.4
West Virginia-4.3 -6.8 -2.8 -9.4
 
West7.6 2.4 11.3 14.0
Alaska # -0.7 13.4 12.6
Arizona12.2 5.6 9.5 15.6
California9.7 1.9 13.5 15.7
Colorado 9.7 3.8 6.9 11.0
Hawaii-3.9 -1.9 11.3 9.1
Idaho2.2 6.4 8.9 15.8
Montana-11.8 -5.5 5.8 -0.1
Nevada 30.4 12.7 6.4 19.9
New Mexico -2.4 -0.7 10.8 10.1
Oregon0.5 1.6 7.5 9.3
Utah 4.4 7.4 9.5 17.6
Washington1.4 -1.3 8.6 7.1
Wyoming -11.0 -2.8 12.2 9.0
# Rounds to zero.
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Includes most nursery school enrollment. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics: Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," Selected years, 1996-97 through 2002-2003; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980-2002. (This table was prepared October 2004.)

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