
| Table 7. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK-8 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1996 to fall 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1996-2002 | Projected | ||
| 2002-2008 | 2008-2014 | 2002-2014 | ||
| United States | 4.2 | -1.3 | 5.9 | 4.5 |
| Northeast | 1.4 | -6.0 | 1.4 | -4.6 |
| Connecticut | 4.3 | -3.1 | 3.3 | 0.1 |
| Maine | -8.9 | -10.6 | 1.7 | -9.1 |
| Massachusetts | 1.9 | -6.7 | 0.2 | -6.5 |
| New Hampshire | -0.2 | -7.3 | 2.5 | -5.0 |
| New Jersey | 8.4 | -1.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| New York | 0.8 | -7.0 | 1.3 | -5.9 |
| Pennsylvania | -1.7 | -7.4 | 0.2 | -7.2 |
| Rhode Island | 1.9 | -5.8 | 1.9 | -4.1 |
| Vermont | -9.5 | -12.0 | 0.5 | -11.6 |
| Midwest | 0.6 | -3.8 | 3.1 | -0.8 |
| Illinois | 5.3 | -2.1 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Indiana | 3.6 | -0.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Iowa | -4.6 | -5.6 | 2.5 | -3.2 |
| Kansas | -1.9 | -2.2 | 6.3 | 4.0 |
| Michigan | 3.4 | -5.6 | 1.1 | -4.6 |
| Minnesota | -3.6 | -3.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| Missouri | 1.4 | -4.4 | 4.1 | -0.6 |
| Nebraska | -3.8 | -2.2 | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| North Dakota | -15.9 | -8.1 | 5.4 | -3.1 |
| Ohio | -1.2 | -5.1 | 1.6 | -3.6 |
| South Dakota | -11.8 | -3.6 | 5.1 | 1.3 |
| Wisconsin | -2.2 | -4.7 | 3.8 | -1.1 |
| South | 5.6 | # | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Alabama | -1.2 | -4.9 | 2.3 | -2.7 |
| Arkansas | -1.7 | -1.6 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Delaware | 5.4 | -4.3 | 1.1 | -3.3 |
| District of Columbia | -3.7 | -12.5 | 13.1 | -1.1 |
| Florida | 9.4 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 9.5 |
| Georgia | 9.9 | 2.0 | 5.9 | 8.1 |
| Kentucky | 2.3 | -5.9 | -0.6 | -6.4 |
| Louisiana | -6.7 | -5.2 | 4.8 | -0.6 |
| Maryland | 2.3 | -4.4 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| Mississippi | -1.0 | -4.7 | 0.6 | -4.1 |
| North Carolina | 8.8 | -0.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
| Oklahoma | 0.8 | -3.2 | 6.8 | 3.3 |
| South Carolina | 7.0 | -5.0 | 1.7 | -3.4 |
| Tennessee | 2.5 | -2.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Texas | 10.0 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 16.6 |
| Virginia | 4.4 | -1.9 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| West Virginia | -4.3 | -6.8 | -2.8 | -9.4 |
| West | 7.6 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 14.0 |
| Alaska | # | -0.7 | 13.4 | 12.6 |
| Arizona | 12.2 | 5.6 | 9.5 | 15.6 |
| California | 9.7 | 1.9 | 13.5 | 15.7 |
| Colorado | 9.7 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 11.0 |
| Hawaii | -3.9 | -1.9 | 11.3 | 9.1 |
| Idaho | 2.2 | 6.4 | 8.9 | 15.8 |
| Montana | -11.8 | -5.5 | 5.8 | -0.1 |
| Nevada | 30.4 | 12.7 | 6.4 | 19.9 |
| New Mexico | -2.4 | -0.7 | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| Oregon | 0.5 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 9.3 |
| Utah | 4.4 | 7.4 | 9.5 | 17.6 |
| Washington | 1.4 | -1.3 | 8.6 | 7.1 |
| Wyoming | -11.0 | -2.8 | 12.2 | 9.0 |
| # Rounds to zero. | ||||
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Includes most nursery school enrollment. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A. | ||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics: Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," Selected years, 1996-97 through 2002-2003; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980-2002. (This table was prepared October 2004.) | ||||