
| Table 5. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK-12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1996 to fall 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region and state | Actual 1996-2002 | Projected | ||
| 2002-2008 | 2008-2014 | 2002-2014 | ||
| United States | 5.7 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| Northeast | 3.6 | -2.8 | -2.0 | -4.8 |
| Connecticut | 8.1 | -1.3 | 0.7 | -0.6 |
| Maine | -4.3 | -9.9 | -3.2 | -12.8 |
| Massachusetts | 5.3 | -3.9 | -2.6 | -6.5 |
| New Hampshire | 4.7 | -5.8 | -1.3 | -7.1 |
| New Jersey | 11.4 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 3.5 |
| New York | 1.6 | -3.6 | -2.5 | -6.0 |
| Pennsylvania | 0.7 | -4.2 | -3.7 | -7.7 |
| Rhode Island | 5.2 | -1.3 | -2.3 | -3.6 |
| Vermont | -6.0 | -11.1 | -4.6 | -15.2 |
| Midwest | 1.9 | -1.7 | -0.1 | -1.8 |
| Illinois | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Indiana | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| Iowa | -4.1 | -5.1 | -1.2 | -6.3 |
| Kansas | 1.0 | -2.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Michigan | 5.9 | -0.9 | -2.4 | -3.2 |
| Minnesota | # | -4.1 | 1.7 | -2.5 |
| Missouri | 2.7 | -1.8 | 0.2 | -1.6 |
| Nebraska | -2.2 | -2.3 | 2.1 | -0.2 |
| North Dakota | -13.2 | -9.9 | -0.3 | -10.2 |
| Ohio | -0.3 | -3.2 | -1.6 | -4.7 |
| South Dakota | -10.7 | -5.1 | 1.6 | -3.6 |
| Wisconsin | 0.2 | -3.7 | -0.2 | -3.9 |
| South | 6.7 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 5.3 |
| Alabama | -1.1 | -3.2 | -0.9 | -4.1 |
| Arkansas | -1.4 | -1.0 | 0.4 | -0.5 |
| Delaware | 5.2 | -0.1 | -1.9 | -2.0 |
| District of Columbia | -3.2 | -5.3 | 2.7 | -2.8 |
| Florida | 13.3 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 9.9 |
| Georgia | 11.1 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 8.7 |
| Kentucky | 0.7 | -3.8 | -2.8 | -6.5 |
| Louisiana | -7.9 | -4.0 | 0.7 | -3.3 |
| Maryland | 5.9 | -1.4 | 0.4 | -1.0 |
| Mississippi | -2.2 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -4.8 |
| North Carolina | 10.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3.3 |
| Oklahoma | 0.6 | -2.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| South Carolina | 6.4 | -1.3 | -1.5 | -2.7 |
| Tennessee | 2.6 | -0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Texas | 11.3 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 15.6 |
| Virginia | 7.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| West Virginia | -7.1 | -5.3 | -4.8 | -9.8 |
| West | 9.5 | 4.7 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
| Alaska | 3.4 | -0.1 | 7.8 | 7.7 |
| Arizona | 17.3 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 14.5 |
| California | 11.8 | 5.3 | 8.6 | 14.3 |
| Colorado | 11.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 10.9 |
| Hawaii | -2.0 | -1.0 | 6.1 | 5.0 |
| Idaho | 1.3 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 13.8 |
| Montana | -8.9 | -7.0 | 1.1 | -5.9 |
| Nevada | 31.0 | 19.1 | 7.8 | 28.4 |
| New Mexico | -3.7 | -0.5 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| Oregon | 3.0 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 6.7 |
| Utah | 1.5 | 6.0 | 8.4 | 14.9 |
| Washington | 4.1 | -0.2 | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Wyoming | -11.0 | -5.7 | 7.0 | 0.9 |
| # Rounds to zero. | ||||
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Includes most nursery school enrollment. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A. | ||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics: Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," Selected years, 1996-97 through 2002-2003; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980-2002. (This table was prepared October 2004.) | ||||