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Projections of Education Statistics to 2014, Thirty-third Edition, September 2005 - Actual and projected percentage changes in PK–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1996 to fall 2014

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Table 5. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK-12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 1996 to fall 2014
Region and state Actual 1996-2002 Projected
2002-2008 2008-2014 2002-2014
United States5.7 1.0 2.7 3.7
 
Northeast3.6 -2.8 -2.0 -4.8
Connecticut8.1 -1.3 0.7 -0.6
Maine-4.3 -9.9 -3.2 -12.8
Massachusetts 5.3 -3.9 -2.6 -6.5
New Hampshire4.7 -5.8 -1.3 -7.1
New Jersey 11.4 2.8 0.7 3.5
New York 1.6 -3.6 -2.5 -6.0
Pennsylvania0.7 -4.2 -3.7 -7.7
Rhode Island5.2 -1.3 -2.3 -3.6
Vermont-6.0 -11.1 -4.6 -15.2
 
Midwest 1.9 -1.7 -0.1 -1.8
Illinois5.6 0.8 0.9 1.6
Indiana2.1 1.9 0.6 2.5
Iowa-4.1 -5.1 -1.2 -6.3
Kansas 1.0 -2.7 2.9 0.1
Michigan 5.9 -0.9 -2.4 -3.2
Minnesota# -4.1 1.7 -2.5
Missouri 2.7 -1.8 0.2 -1.6
Nebraska-2.2 -2.3 2.1 -0.2
North Dakota-13.2 -9.9 -0.3 -10.2
Ohio-0.3 -3.2 -1.6 -4.7
South Dakota -10.7 -5.1 1.6 -3.6
Wisconsin0.2 -3.7 -0.2 -3.9
 
South6.7 2.1 3.2 5.3
Alabama-1.1 -3.2 -0.9 -4.1
Arkansas -1.4 -1.0 0.4 -0.5
Delaware5.2 -0.1 -1.9 -2.0
District of Columbia -3.2 -5.3 2.7 -2.8
Florida 13.3 5.0 4.7 9.9
Georgia11.1 4.5 4.0 8.7
Kentucky0.7 -3.8 -2.8 -6.5
Louisiana -7.9 -4.0 0.7 -3.3
Maryland5.9 -1.4 0.4 -1.0
Mississippi-2.2 -2.9 -1.9 -4.8
North Carolina10.4 2.2 1.1 3.3
Oklahoma0.6 -2.6 2.9 0.3
South Carolina6.4 -1.3 -1.5 -2.7
Tennessee2.6 -0.6 0.7 0.1
Texas11.3 6.7 8.3 15.6
Virginia7.4 1.7 0.5 2.1
West Virginia-7.1 -5.3 -4.8 -9.8
 
West9.5 4.7 7.5 12.5
Alaska 3.4 -0.1 7.8 7.7
Arizona17.3 6.4 7.6 14.5
California11.8 5.3 8.6 14.3
Colorado 11.6 5.2 5.3 10.9
Hawaii-2.0 -1.0 6.1 5.0
Idaho1.3 5.8 7.5 13.8
Montana-8.9 -7.0 1.1 -5.9
Nevada 31.0 19.1 7.8 28.4
New Mexico -3.7 -0.5 6.2 5.7
Oregon3.0 1.6 5.0 6.7
Utah 1.5 6.0 8.4 14.9
Washington4.1 -0.2 4.4 4.1
Wyoming -11.0 -5.7 7.0 0.9
# Rounds to zero.
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Includes most nursery school enrollment. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics: Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," Selected years, 1996-97 through 2002-2003; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980-2002. (This table was prepared October 2004.)

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