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Immediate Transition to College (Indicator 34-2012)

Over the 35-year period between 1975 and 2010, the rate of immediate college enrollment after high school ranged from a low of 49 percent in 1979 and 1980, to a high of 70 percent in 2009. This rate increased most recently from 2001 to 2009.

The immediate college enrollment rate is defined as the percentage of high school completers of a given year who enroll in 2- or 4-year colleges in the fall immediately after completing high school. During the period of 1975 through 2010, the immediate college enrollment rate ranged from a low of 49 percent to a high of 70 percent (see table A-34-1). Specifically, this rate increased from 1975 to 1997 (51 to 67 percent), declined from 1997 to 2001 (to 62 percent), then increased from 2001 to 2009 (to 70 percent). There was no measurable difference between the rate for 2009 and that for 2010 (68 percent).

In each year between 1975 and 2010, the immediate college enrollment rates of high school completers from low- and middle-income families were lower than those of high school completers from high-income families. Most recently, in 2010, the immediate college enrollment rate of high school completers from low-income families was 52 percent, 30 percentage points lower than the rate of high school completers from high-income families (82 percent). The immediate college enrollment rate of high school completers from middle-income families (67 percent) was 15 percentage points lower than the rate of their peers from high-income families.

Separate data on Asian high school completers have been collected since 2003. Between 2003 and 2010, immediate college enrollment rates increased for Asian high school completers from 80 to 88 percent (see table A-34-2). Despite some apparent increases, there were no measurable differences over this period in the rates for White, Black, or Hispanic high school completers. During the longer period of 1975 to 2010, immediate college enrollment rates increased for White (51 vs. 70 percent) and Black high school completers (43 vs. 66 percent). After accounting for possible sampling error, there was no measurable difference in Hispanic rates over this period of time (approximately 60 percent in both years). In each year between 2003 and 2010, the immediate college enrollment rate of Asian high school completers was higher than the rates of White, Black, and Hispanic high school completers. The immediate college enrollment rate of White high school completers was also higher than the rate for Hispanic students in every year during this period and for Black students in every year from 2003 to 2009. In 2010, there was no measurable difference between the rates for Whites and for Blacks.

Overall, the immediate college enrollment rates of high school completers at both 2- and 4-year colleges increased between 1975 and 2010 (see table A-34-3). In 1975, about 18 percent of high school completers enrolled at a 2-year college immediately after high school, while 27 percent did so in 2010. Similarly, in 1975, some 33 percent of high school completers enrolled at a 4-year college immediately after high school, compared with 41 percent in 2010. In each year during this period, immediate college enrollment rates at 2-year colleges were lower than those at 4-year colleges.

Between 1975 and 2010, immediate college enrollment rates increased for both males and females: the rate for males increased from 53 to 63 percent and that for females, from 49 to 74 percent. Thus, the enrollment pattern has shifted over time to higher enrollment rates for females than males. The percentage of male high school completers who enrolled in a 2-year college immediately after high school (29 percent) was not measurably different from the percentage for their female peers (25 percent). In contrast, the percentage of high school completers who enrolled in a 4-year college immediately after high school was lower for males than females (34 vs. 49 percent).

Technical Notes

This indicator provides data on high school completers ages 16–24, who account for about 98 percent of all high school completers in a given year. Enrollment rates were calculated using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS). Before 1992, high school completer referred to those who had completed 12 years of schooling. As of 1992, high school completer refers to those who have received a high school diploma or equivalency certificate. Low income refers to the bottom 20 percent of all family incomes, high income refers to the top 20 percent of all family incomes, and middle income refers to the 60 percent in between. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. Estimates for Black, Hispanic, Asian, and low-income categories are based on moving averages, which were calculated due to short-term data fluctuations in some years associated with small sample sizes for these groups. For more information on the CPS, see Appendix B – Guide to Sources. For more information on educational attainment, family income, and race/ ethnicity, see Appendix C – Commonly Used Measures.


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National Center for Education Statistics - http://nces.ed.gov
U.S. Department of Education