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Postsecondary Expectations of 12th-Graders
Table 23-1.  Percentage of 12th-graders who expected to attain various levels of education, by family socioeconomic status (SES), sex, and race/ethnicity: 1981–82, 1991–92, and 2003–04

  High school
or less
  Some college
  Bachelor’s degree
  Graduate or
professional school
  Do not know
Family SES, sex,
and race/ethnicity
1981–
82
1991–
92
2003–
4
  1981–
82
1991–
92
2003–
4
  1981–
82
1991–
92
2003–
4
  1981–
82
1991–
92
2003–
4
  1981–
82
1991–
92
2003–
4

    Total 20.5 5.0 5.0   35.8 23.9 18.1   19.2 34.2 33.5   15.8 31.4 35.0   8.7 5.4 8.4
Family SES1                                      
  Lowest quarter 34.1 10.6 9.6   37.9 37.7 27.4   10.0 24.9 28.8   6.3 18.6 22.0   11.6 8.3 12.1
  Middle two quarters 19.1 5.1 5.0   40.7 27.1 19.8   19.5 36.6 35.6   13.3 25.8 30.8   7.5 5.4 8.8
  Highest quarter 6.2 1.3 1.3   24.8 9.0 7.4   30.7 36.0 33.4   33.3 50.0 53.2   5.0 3.7 4.6
Sex                                      
  Male 24.4 6.3 6.9   33.6 24.3 20.6   18.3 33.9 34.4   15.5 29.1 28.8   8.1 6.4 9.4
  Female 16.7 3.7 3.1   37.9 23.4 15.6   20.1 34.5 32.7   16.1 33.8 41.2   9.3 4.5 7.4
Race/ethnicity2                                      
  White 20.3 5.1 4.7   35.0 23.9 17.3   20.7 35.5 35.1   16.1 30.7 35.9   7.9 4.9 7.0
  Black 17.1 4.3 5.0   40.8 21.8 18.8   15.1 31.6 32.1   15.2 35.3 35.3   11.7 6.9 8.8
  Hispanic 29.0 5.8 6.4   35.7 28.8 23.1   12.4 29.1 28.2   11.0 28.4 28.8   11.9 7.9 13.5
  Asian/Pacific Islander 6.7 2.7 2.5   29.3 18.2 10.4   22.5 34.0 32.7   35.2 40.3 47.6   6.3 4.7 6.9
Males, by race/ethnicity2                                      
  White 23.4 6.4 6.7   32.5 24.1 19.8   20.1 35.0 36.1   16.4 28.8 29.1   7.6 5.7 8.4
  Black 23.3 4.1 6.7   41.3 26.6 22.3   12.7 33.7 34.6   12.1 27.0 28.4   10.7 8.6! 7.9
  Hispanic 34.9 7.8 7.9   32.7 25.7 26.3   10.8 27.3 28.4   11.0 28.4 22.4   10.6 10.9 15.0
  Asian/Pacific Islander 7.4! 3.9! 3.8   31.2 19.8 12.7   22.8 32.7 34.0   31.0 39.0 41.8   7.6! 4.7 7.8
Females, by race/ethnicity2                                      
  White 17.2 3.7 2.7   37.4 23.6 14.8   21.3 36.0 34.1   15.8 32.6 42.8   8.3 4.1 5.6
  Black 11.6 4.6 3.5   40.4 17.4 15.4   17.3 29.6 29.8   18.1 43.0 41.8   12.5 5.4 9.6
  Hispanic 22.6 3.9 5.1   38.9 31.8 20.1   14.2 30.8 28.0   11.0 28.4 34.9   13.2 5.1 12.0
  Asian/Pacific Islander 5.8! 1.5! 1.0!   27.1 16.5 7.9   22.1 35.5 31.2   40.1 41.8 54.0   4.9! 4.8 5.8

! Interpret data with caution (estimates are unstable).

1The SES variable is a composite based on parents’ educational attainment, occupations, and family income. See supplemental note 7 for more detail about SES variable construction in the three datasets.

2Black includes African American, Hispanic includes Latino, and Pacific Islander includes Native Hawaiian. Race categories exclude Hispanic origin unless specified. Included in the totals but not shown separately are students who identified themselves as American Indian/Alaska Native or, in 2004, as more than one race.

NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, High School and Beyond Longitudinal Study of 1980 Sophomores (HS&B-So:80/82), “First Follow-up, Student Survey, 1982, Data Analysis System”; National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988 (NELS:88/92), “Second Follow-up, Student Survey, 1992”; and Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS:02/04), “First Follow-up, Student Survey, 2004”; previously unpublished tabulations (October 2005).

 
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